Cubs vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 23, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Tigers are -125 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Chicago Cubs (+105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-125) on Wednesday, August 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.

The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Cubs vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cubs are 65-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 67-59 ATS.

Cubs vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -200O 8 -115+105
Tigers -1.5 +165U 8 -105-125

Cubs vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 52.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 49 games (+23.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+21.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 50 games (+19.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+18.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+15.25 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+12.30 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+11.95 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.75 Units / 33% ROI)

Tigers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Riley Greene 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 +425 0.5 -900

Tigers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Riley Greene 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 -130 0.5 +100
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Tigers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Riley Greene 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Tigers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tarik Skubal 6.5 +115 6.5 -155
Jameson Taillon 5.5 +110 5.5 -150
Jameson Taillon 4.5 -155 4.5 +120
Tarik Skubal 5.5 -130 5.5 +100
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 29 games (+15.84 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+7.39 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+7.24 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.99 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 60 games (+8.69 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.23 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 116 games (+5.95 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+5.40 Units / 41% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 64-61 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -1.07% ROI).

  • 65-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 0.5% ROI
  • 65-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 3.49% ROI
  • 54-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.15 Units / -12.65% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 67-59 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -1.15% ROI).

  • 58-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 4.9% ROI
  • 62-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -1.8% ROI
  • 58-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -6.84% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (27/195) against Jameson Taillon with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 16 of 634 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to August 3rd — the longest active streak is 8.

Opponents are hitting .418 (56-for-134) against Jameson Taillon on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .343 — sixth Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tarik Skubal has allowed three-ball counts to 3% of batters they faced (15/496 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed three-ball counts to 3% of batters they faced (19/629 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (11/19) against Tarik Skubal — 10th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 89th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 67% (1,703/2,528) since last season — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 92nd Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Cubs are just 26-31 (.456) after a loss as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.

The Cubs are 34-7 (.829) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Cubs are just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cubs were just 19-11 (.633) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Tigers are just 15-53 (.221) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.

The Tigers are just 31-44 (.413) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Tigers are just 10-16 (.385) after a road win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The Tigers are just 20-116 (.147) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

Cubs hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Cubs hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Cubs hitters have been successful in 89% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

The Cubs are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .287 (7,966 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .638 (3,332 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .640 (7,966 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .353 against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Cubs pitchers have walked 77 of 1,108 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 13% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed the 26th hardest ball in play hit (118.1 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 116.5).

Tigers pitchers have walked 363 of 4,748 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Tigers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
  • Ednel Báez (Tigers): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Rib, D15
  • Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
  • Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.