- The Tigers are -125 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Chicago Cubs (+105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-125) on Wednesday, August 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Cubs vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 65-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 67-59 ATS.
Cubs vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Cubs | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -115 | +105 |
Tigers | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -105 | -125 |
Cubs vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 52.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 49 games (+23.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+21.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 50 games (+19.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+18.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+15.25 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+12.30 Units / 82% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+11.95 Units / 74% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.75 Units / 33% ROI)
Tigers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Tigers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Tigers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Tigers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tarik Skubal | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
Jameson Taillon | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
Jameson Taillon | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
Tarik Skubal | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 29 games (+15.84 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+7.39 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+7.24 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.99 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 56% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 60 games (+8.69 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.23 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 116 games (+5.95 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+5.40 Units / 41% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 64-61 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -1.07% ROI).
- 65-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 0.5% ROI
- 65-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 3.49% ROI
- 54-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.15 Units / -12.65% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 67-59 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -1.15% ROI).
- 58-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 4.9% ROI
- 62-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -1.8% ROI
- 58-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -6.84% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (27/195) against Jameson Taillon with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 16 of 634 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to August 3rd — the longest active streak is 8.
Opponents are hitting .418 (56-for-134) against Jameson Taillon on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .343 — sixth Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed three-ball counts to 3% of batters they faced (15/496 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed three-ball counts to 3% of batters they faced (19/629 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (11/19) against Tarik Skubal — 10th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 89th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 67% (1,703/2,528) since last season — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 92nd Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Cubs are just 26-31 (.456) after a loss as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs are 34-7 (.829) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Cubs are just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs were just 19-11 (.633) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Tigers are just 15-53 (.221) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Tigers are just 31-44 (.413) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Tigers are just 10-16 (.385) after a road win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Tigers are just 20-116 (.147) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Cubs hitters have been successful in 89% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The Cubs are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .287 (7,966 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .638 (3,332 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .640 (7,966 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .353 against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 77 of 1,108 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 13% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed the 26th hardest ball in play hit (118.1 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 116.5).
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 363 of 4,748 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Tigers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Ednel Báez (Tigers): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Rib, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
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