- The Cubs are -140 favorites vs the Twins
- Cubs vs Twins Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cubs / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | MARQ | KMSP
The Chicago Cubs (-140) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+115) on Tuesday, July 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Cubs are 54-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 43-44 ATS.
Cubs vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 5-2, 2.78 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 4-4, 4.46 ERA
Cubs vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +120 | O 9 -105 | -140 |
| Twins | +1.5 -145 | U 9 -115 | +115 |
Cubs vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+37.00 Units / 617% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.90 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
Twins Best Bets Today:
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 44-46 against the Run Line (-2.03 Units / -1.89% ROI).
- 54-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.25 Units / 8.5% ROI
- 47-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 5.8% ROI
- 38-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.9 Units / -13.93% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 43-44 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -1.12% ROI).
- 43-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.85 Units / -10.19% ROI
- 39-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.3 Units / -12.49% ROI
- 47-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 3.86% ROI
Twins vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Twins vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Twins vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Twins vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +115 |
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .171 (42-for-245) against Shota Imanaga when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (44/162) against Shota Imanaga this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has a strikeout rate of just 7% (4 SO in 54 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Shota Imanaga walked 4% of batters in the 2024 season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of .633 (69 Total Bases / 109 ABs) on changeups since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .367 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (28/101) against Simeon Woods Richardson this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 14 innings — Adrian Morejon has the longest active streak at 15.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .198 (26 Total Bases / 131 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 89th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Cubs are 20-5 (.800) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Twins (Ranks 22nd runs scored) today.
The Cubs are 28-5 (.848) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
The Cubs are 22-6 (.786) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .632.
The Cubs were 32-10 (.762) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Twins are just 2-107 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Twins are 10-1 (.909) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Twins are just 18-28 (.391) after a loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .495.
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .477 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Cubs hitters have 112 extra-base hits out of 274 total hits (41%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Cubs hitters have chased 27% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .804 (1,755 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .149 (221 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Twins are batting just .078 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Twins hitters have struck out in 36% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters are slugging just .108 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Cubs pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Cubs pitchers over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 38 double plays in 607 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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