- The Cubs are -105 favorites vs the Twins
- Cubs vs Twins Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Cubs / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | MARQ
The Chicago Cubs (-105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-115) on Wednesday, July 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, MN.
This season, the Cubs are 54-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 44-44 ATS.
Cubs vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Cade Horton 3-2, 4.21 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: David Festa 2-3, 5.49 ERA
Cubs vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +150 | O 9.5 -120 | -105 |
| Twins | +1.5 -185 | U 9.5 +100 | -115 |
Cubs vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cade Horton has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 72% ROI)
- Cade Horton has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Cade Horton has hit the Earned Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Cade Horton has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Cade Horton has hit the Strikeouts Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kody Clemens has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+12.00 Units / 240% ROI)
- Kody Clemens has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- David Festa has hit the Strikeouts Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.15 Units / 57% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
Twins Best Bets Today:
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 44-47 against the Run Line (-2.03 Units / -1.89% ROI).
- 54-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.25 Units / 8.5% ROI
- 47-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 5.8% ROI
- 38-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.9 Units / -13.93% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 44-44 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -1.12% ROI).
- 44-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.85 Units / -10.19% ROI
- 39-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.3 Units / -12.49% ROI
- 47-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 3.86% ROI
Twins vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
Twins vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
Twins vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Twins vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Festa (MIN) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Cade Horton (CHC) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .459 (17-for-37) against Cade Horton’s inside fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (14-for-42) against Cade Horton in his last two starts — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .223 — third Percentile.
Cade Horton has allowed an OBP of .400 (25 PA’s) with two-strikes in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .224 — second Percentile.
32% of Cade Horton’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Festa has walked 2% of batters in his last two starts — 9th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 90th Percentile.
David Festa has a strike rate of 69% (112/162) in his last two starts — 7th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .125 (6-for-48) against David Festa’s changeup this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 98th Percentile.
David Festa has allowed a slugging percentage of just .190 (4 Total Bases / 21 ABs) vs left-handed batters in his last two starts — tied for 6th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .376 — 91st Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Cubs are 27-9 (.750) after a loss this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Cubs are 54-37 (.593) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 24-21 (.533) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Cubs are 48-1 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .956.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Twins are just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 25-18 (.581) after a win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Twins are 11-1 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .473 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
The Cubs have answered-back in 41% of innings after an opponent scores this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .227 (212 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .800 (1,791 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .161 (217 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Twins hitters are slugging just .111 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Twins hitters have an OPS of 1.081 (73 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .693.
The Twins are batting just .090 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 31% against the Twins pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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