- The Twins are -175 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs starting pitcher: Hayden Wesneski
- Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan
- Watch the game on BSN
The Chicago Cubs (+145) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-175) on Saturday, May 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Cubs vs Twins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 19-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 20-19 ATS.
Cubs vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -145 | O 7.5 -120 | +145 |
| Twins | -1.5 +120 | U 7.5 +100 | -175 |
Cubs vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 62.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+18.65 Units / 66% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+14.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+11.85 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+17.50 Units / 54% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+9.90 Units / 141% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.30 Units / 48% ROI)
Twins vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Matt Mervis | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Twins vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Matt Mervis | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Twins vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Matt Mervis | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Twins vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hayden Wesneski | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Joe Ryan | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+9.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+1.45 Units / 3% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+4.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+2.95 Units / 22% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 22-16 against the Run Line (+6.55 Units / 14.15% ROI).
- 19-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -1.71% ROI
- 17-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -12.2% ROI
- 20-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 2.74% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 20-19 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 2.06% ROI).
- 21-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -6.36% ROI
- 15-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -19.35% ROI
- 21-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 10.76% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hayden Wesneski’s has 8 strikeouts and no walks — best in MLB K:BB ratio over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.2 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 37% (62/167) against Hayden Wesneski on sliders this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.
Hayden Wesneski has not allowed a walk in his last 64 PAs against a RHH dating back to April 11st — Ryne Nelson has the longest active streak at 97.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (15/94) against Hayden Wesneski this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 24% — eighth Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 75% (232/310) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 61% (189/310) against Joe Ryan this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 46% (66/143) against Joe Ryan this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 72% (454/631) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Cubs are 37-34 (.521) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Cubs are just 1-86 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Cubs are just 25-37 (.403) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .545.
The Cubs are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Twins are just 5-18 (.217) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 14-34 (.292) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Twins are 8-0 (1.000) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .600.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .209 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .619 (825 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Cubs hitters are slugging .329 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Cubs hitters are slugging .480 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .274 (299 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Twins hitters are slugging just .130 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Twins are batting just .093 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .173.
The Twins are batting just .198 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (136.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.40.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.2 MPH (900 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Cubs pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Tricep, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique Strain, D15
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D15
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Nicholas Hoerner (Cubs): Hamstring, D10
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