Cubs vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 13

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 13, 2023, 3:34 PM
  • The Twins are -175 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Hayden Wesneski
  • Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan
  • Watch the game on BSN

The Chicago Cubs (+145) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-175) on Saturday, May 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Cubs vs Twins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cubs are 19-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 20-19 ATS.

Cubs vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -145O 7.5 -120+145
Twins -1.5 +120U 7.5 +100-175

Cubs vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 62.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+18.65 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+14.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+11.85 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+17.50 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+9.90 Units / 141% ROI)
  • Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.30 Units / 48% ROI)

Twins vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Christopher Morel 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Alex Kirilloff 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Matt Mervis 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Twins vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
Christopher Morel 0.5 -120 0.5 -110
Jorge Polanco 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Matt Mervis 0.5 -120 0.5 -105
Ian Happ 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Twins vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Christopher Morel 0.5 +280 0.5 -400
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Alex Kirilloff 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Matt Mervis 0.5 +240 0.5 -350

Twins vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hayden Wesneski 4.5 -110 4.5 -120
Joe Ryan 6.5 -125 6.5 -105
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+9.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+1.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+4.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+2.95 Units / 22% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 22-16 against the Run Line (+6.55 Units / 14.15% ROI).

  • 19-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -1.71% ROI
  • 17-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -12.2% ROI
  • 20-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 2.74% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 20-19 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 2.06% ROI).

  • 21-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -6.36% ROI
  • 15-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -19.35% ROI
  • 21-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 10.76% ROI

Hayden Wesneski’s has 8 strikeouts and no walks — best in MLB K:BB ratio over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.2 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 37% (62/167) against Hayden Wesneski on sliders this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.

Hayden Wesneski has not allowed a walk in his last 64 PAs against a RHH dating back to April 11st — Ryne Nelson has the longest active streak at 97.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (15/94) against Hayden Wesneski this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 24% — eighth Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 75% (232/310) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 61% (189/310) against Joe Ryan this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 46% (66/143) against Joe Ryan this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 72% (454/631) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Cubs are 37-34 (.521) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

The Cubs are just 1-86 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.

The Cubs are just 25-37 (.403) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .545.

The Cubs are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Twins are just 5-18 (.217) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 14-34 (.292) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.

The Twins are 8-0 (1.000) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .600.

The Cubs are batting .209 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .170.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .619 (825 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

Cubs hitters are slugging .329 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Cubs hitters are slugging .480 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Twins hitters have an OBP of just .274 (299 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Twins hitters are slugging just .130 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Twins are batting just .093 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .173.

The Twins are batting just .198 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (136.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.40.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.2 MPH (900 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Cubs pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Hamstring, D10
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Tricep, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
  • Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique Strain, D15
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D15
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Nicholas Hoerner (Cubs): Hamstring, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.