- The Cubs are -115 favorites vs the White Sox
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Chicago Cubs (-115) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-105) on Tuesday, July 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Cubs vs White Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 48-51 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 51-50 ATS.
Cubs vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +140 | O 9.5 -120 | -115 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -165 | U 9.5 +100 | -105 |
Cubs vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 52.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 23 games (+20.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 24 games (+18.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+17.95 Units / 66% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+16.70 Units / 61% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.30 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 38 games (+20.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+11.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+11.30 Units / 103% ROI)
- Lance Lynn has hit the Earned Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+10.95 Units / 24% ROI)
White Sox vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
White Sox vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
White Sox vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
White Sox vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Kopech | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -115 |
| Kyle Hendricks | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 64 games (+10.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+4.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.60 Units / 22% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+12.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+9.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.55 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games at home (+1.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 51-48 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -0.28% ROI).
- 48-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -4.52% ROI
- 51-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 2.59% ROI
- 43-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.65 Units / -11.72% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 51-50 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -5.98% ROI).
- 41-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.35 Units / -16.62% ROI
- 44-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -10.3% ROI
- 51-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 2.55% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.0 MPH on fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has located his pitches away 72% of the time (395/548) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (19/96) against Kyle Hendricks on non-fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 98th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has not walked any of the 46 batters that he has faced over the last 14 days (2 games) — tied for best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Division opponents are hitting just .080 (7-for-87) against Michael Kopech this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Kopech has a strike rate of just 56% (442/788) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (60/346) against Michael Kopech since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (16/110) against Michael Kopech when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Cubs are just 5-38 (.116) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Cubs are just 11-13 (.458) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .610.
The Cubs are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 2-41 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The White Sox are just 33-6 (.846) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The White Sox are just 13-27 (.325) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The White Sox are just 5-16 (.238) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The White Sox are just 32-7 (.821) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .293 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Cubs hitters have been successful in 89% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of 1.083 (74 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .216 (1,999 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .461 (1,999 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
White Sox hitters have drawn 459 walks in 7,654 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox has 1,542 quality ABs out of 3,785 total (41% QAB rate) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (2,449 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Cubs pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 8% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 42% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 12 of 79 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 400 of 3,913 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 50 of 354 batters (14%) over the last 14 days (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Andrew Vaughn (White Sox): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Hamstring, D10
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
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