- The Cubs are -200 favorites vs the White Sox
- Cubs vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Cubs / White Sox TV Channel: MARQ | CHSN
The Chicago Cubs (-200) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+165) on Saturday, July 26, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Cubs are 60-43 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 60-44 ATS.
Cubs vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Cade Horton 3-3, 4.09 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-6, 4.73 ERA
Cubs vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 -125 | O 9.5 -120 | -200 |
| White Sox | +1.5 +105 | U 9.5 +100 | +165 |
Cubs vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 62.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs White Sox and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+16.00 Units / 160% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colson Montgomery has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+25.00 Units / 625% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.90 Units / 111% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.50 Units / 80% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 52 of their last 101 games (+11.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 97 games (+10.35 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 57 of their last 98 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+6.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 99 games (+6.45 Units / 5% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 51 games at home (+16.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 80 games (+12.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 12 games (+12.20 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 80 games (+12.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+8.29 Units / 19% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 50-53 against the Run Line (-2.68 Units / -2.17% ROI).
- 60-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.25 Units / 5.49% ROI
- 52-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 1.73% ROI
- 46-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.35 Units / -9.95% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 60-44 against the Run Line (+8.9 Units / 6.95% ROI).
- 38-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.86 Units / -9.44% ROI
- 46-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -10.18% ROI
- 52-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 1.01% ROI
White Sox vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
White Sox vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Chase Meidroth (CWS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
White Sox vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
White Sox vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale (CWS) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cade Horton has a first-pitch strike rate of just 43% (9/21) over the past seven days (1 game) — lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
34% of Cade Horton’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 50% — third Percentile.
Hitters have chased 56 of Cade Horton’s 133 sliders out of the zone (chase rate of 42%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 96th Percentile.
Cade Horton had a first-pitch strike rate of just 43% (9/21) in his last start — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Civale has allowed three-ball counts to 34% of left-handed batters he faced (42/125 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .154 (6-for-39) against Aaron Civale over the last 14 days — 3rd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .244 — 95th Percentile.
Aaron Civale has thrown elevated pitches 50% of the time (275/547) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (24/158) against Aaron Civale this month (4 games) — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Cubs are 30-12 (.714) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Cubs are 26-6 (.812) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .633.
The Cubs are 75-45 (.625) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cubs are 60-43 (.583) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 64-31 (.674) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .865.
The White Sox are just 8-118 (.063) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The White Sox are just 79-187 (.297) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .223 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .242 (253 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Cubs hitters are slugging .445 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Cubs are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 25% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .628 (7,220 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 30% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cubs pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox have won just 8% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The White Sox have won just 14% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Cubs vs White Sox and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
