- The Cubs are -110 favorites vs the White Sox
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Chicago Cubs (-110) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-110) on Wednesday, July 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Cubs vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 49-51 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 51-51 ATS.
Cubs vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -115 | -110 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -175 | U 9 -105 | -110 |
Cubs vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 56.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+18.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+16.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.45 Units / 54% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+14.10 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 39 games (+21.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+13.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+11.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+11.30 Units / 103% ROI)
- Lance Lynn has hit the Earned Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.10 Units / 50% ROI)
White Sox vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
White Sox vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
White Sox vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Lance Lynn | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +110 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games (+11.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 games (+6.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 away games (+5.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 away games (+4.65 Units / 23% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.50 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+1.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games at home (+0.35 Units / 1% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 52-48 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 0.83% ROI).
- 49-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -3.64% ROI
- 52-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 3.47% ROI
- 43-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.85 Units / -12.69% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 51-51 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -7.07% ROI).
- 41-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.4 Units / -17.36% ROI
- 45-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -9.31% ROI
- 51-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 1.46% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (121/189) against Marcus Stroman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 56% of the time (561/1,007) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 23 of 121 batters (19%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .299 (134 Total Bases / 448 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .408 — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has allowed an OPS of 1.055 (244 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .739 — second Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .338 (74-for-219) against Lance Lynn this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .653 (143 Total Bases / 219 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .422 — first Percentile.
Lance Lynn allowed a batting average of just .203 vs right-handed batters (sixth best)– 92nd Percentile and .338 vs left-handed batters this season (worst among qualified SPs)– first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Cubs are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 5-38 (.116) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.
The Cubs are just 16-66 (.195) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Cubs are just 7-17 (.292) after a win as underdogs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The White Sox are just 33-6 (.846) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The White Sox are just 5-16 (.238) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The White Sox are just 13-27 (.325) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The White Sox are just 6-17 (.261) after a win as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .296 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .457 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
Cubs hitters have been successful in 89% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .216 (2,017 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox hitters have drawn 248 walks in 3,819 PA’s (7%) this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox hitters have 160 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 8% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 13% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (2,449 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Cubs pitchers over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 51 of 395 batters (13%) over the last 14 days (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 401 of 3,954 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Hamstring, D10
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
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