- The Yankees are -170 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cubs / Yankees TV Channel: YES | MARQ | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (+140) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-170) on Saturday, July 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY, NY.
This season, the Cubs are 55-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 44-50 ATS.
Cubs vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 9-3, 2.52 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 11-2, 2.27 ERA
Cubs vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -160 | O 8 -115 | +140 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -105 | -170 |
Cubs vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+33.00 Units / 330% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- Matthew Boyd has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 20 games (+18.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.30 Units / 206% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 47 of their last 92 games (+11.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 88 games (+10.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 89 games (+6.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+5.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 90 games (+3.80 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in their last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in their last 10 games (+10.20 Units / 89% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.65 Units / 73% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 52 of their last 94 games (+6.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+6.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 45-49 against the Run Line (-3.98 Units / -3.56% ROI).
- 55-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 6.43% ROI
- 48-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 3.26% ROI
- 41-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.9 Units / -11.44% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 44-50 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -6.14% ROI).
- 53-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.8 Units / -7.49% ROI
- 42-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.9 Units / -10.63% ROI
- 49-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.87 Units / 2.75% ROI
Yankees vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -220 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Yankees vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Yankees vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd (CHC) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
| Max Fried (NYY) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has picked-off 7 runners this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has picked-off 7 runners this season — most among among NL Starters — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has thrown his changeup 37% of the time (100/268) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
68% of Matthew Boyd’s fastball strikeouts are elevated this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 52% — 88th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
22 of Max Fried’s 42 breaking pitch strikeouts (52%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
22 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 62% (113/183) against Max Fried in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 59% (286/483) against Max Fried in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Cubs are 28-10 (.737) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Cubs are 73-43 (.629) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 29-5 (.853) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
The Cubs are 25-23 (.521) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees were 76-4 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Yankees are 127-37 (.774) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Yankees are 130-10 (.929) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .330 (2,634 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .782 (2,634 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .292 (384 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Cubs hitters are slugging .452 against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting .457 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .782 (7,111 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Cubs pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 6.80 (86.0 IP) this month (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.
More MLB Reading:
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