- The Yankees are -165 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón
- Watch the game on YES
The Chicago Cubs (+140) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on Friday, July 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Cubs vs Yankees Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 40-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 47-41 ATS.
Cubs vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -150 | O 8 +100 | +140 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -120 | -165 |
Cubs vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 73.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 47 games (+17.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+15.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 46 games (+15.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+12.85 Units / 98% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.25 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+9.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.70 Units / 23% ROI)
Yankees vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Donaldson | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kyle Higashioka | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Yankees vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Donaldson | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kyle Higashioka | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Yankees vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Donaldson | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Higashioka | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rodon | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 away games (+4.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.70 Units / 26% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games (+9.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 58 games (+7.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 44 games at home (+6.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.15 Units / 44% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 44-42 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -1.32% ROI).
- 40-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -7.88% ROI
- 42-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -3.88% ROI
- 41-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -5.37% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 47-41 against the Run Line (+5.8 Units / 5.3% ROI).
- 48-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 3.51% ROI
- 38-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -12.9% ROI
- 46-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 3.89% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .654 (87 Total Bases / 133 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .421 — first Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed an OPS of 1.049 (152 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .745 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 31% (58/189) against Jameson Taillon with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 12 of 541 right-handed batters (2%) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 39% (56 SO in 142 PAs) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of just .217 (53 Total Bases / 244 ABs) on breaking pitches since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: .371 — 99th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of just .215 (40 Total Bases / 186 ABs) versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: .365 — 99th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has thrown elevated pitches 50% of the time (357/711) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Cubs are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 4-34 (.105) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Cubs are just 9-13 (.409) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .610.
The Cubs are just 24-37 (.393) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Yankees are 27-49 (.355) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 16-69 (.188) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .127.
The Yankees are 35-31 (.530) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .356.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .430 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Cubs are batting just .288 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .214 with two outs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Yankees hitters have drawn 230 walks in 2,208 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .763 (2,208 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Games involving the Yankees went UNDER in 76% of their games (44.0% ROI) after a home loss this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.1 MPH (2,138 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Cubs pitchers have walked 52 of 763 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cubs pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The longest HR allowed by the Cubs pitchers this season traveled 481.0 feet — — tied for 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 461.6
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The Yankees have allowed 0.95 runs per game (84/88) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.35.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees pitchers won 56% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.25 (1183.0 IP) at home since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.
Yankees vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Willie Calhoun (Yankees): Quad, D10
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Jakob Bauers (Yankees): Rotator Cuff, Day-to-Day
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Hamstring, D10
- Dansby Swanson (Cubs): Heel, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
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