- The – are favorites vs the –
- Cubs starting pitcher: Todd Smyly
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Watch the game on Amazon Prime Video
The Chicago Cubs () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Saturday, July 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Cubs vs Yankees Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 41-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 47-42 ATS.
Cubs vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | O | ||
| Yankees | U |
Cubs vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 74.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 48 games (+18.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 34 of his last 47 games (+16.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 47 games (+14.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+14.10 Units / 100% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+9.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Yankees vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Yankees vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Yankees vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -110 |
| Drew Smyly | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+7.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+5.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 away games (+5.15 Units / 34% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 59 games (+8.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+7.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 59 games (+6.15 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.15 Units / 48% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 45-42 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.41% ROI).
- 41-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -6.46% ROI
- 42-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.9 Units / -5.08% ROI
- 42-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -4.26% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 47-42 against the Run Line (+4.8 Units / 4.35% ROI).
- 48-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 2.08% ROI
- 38-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -13.97% ROI
- 47-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.8 Units / 4.86% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (462/1,055) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
19 of Drew Smyly’s 56 breaking pitch strikeouts (34%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 49% of the time (713/1,466) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (133/318) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
58% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% (106/290) against Gerrit Cole this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 14th Percentile.
34% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts are looking against right-handed batters this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 91st Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (144/403) against Gerrit Cole on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Cubs are just 9-13 (.409) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Cubs are just 4-34 (.105) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Cubs are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 5-16 (.238) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Yankees are 27-49 (.355) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Yankees are 14-11 (.560) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Yankees are 88-21 (.807) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Yankees are 40-6 (.870) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .426 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters have 588 strikeouts in 2,429 PA’s (24%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Cubs are batting just .285 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .294 (1,722 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .294 (2,588 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Games involving the Yankees went UNDER in 77% of their games (46.4% ROI) after a home loss this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .201 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 6% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 52 of 772 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The Yankees have allowed 0.96 runs per game (85/89) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.34.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 39% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .192 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .227.
Yankees vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Willie Calhoun (Yankees): Quad, D10
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Jakob Bauers (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Hamstring, D10
- Dansby Swanson (Cubs): Heel, D10
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
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