- The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks
- Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Chicago Cubs (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Sunday, July 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Cubs vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 41-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 48-42 ATS.
Cubs vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 +100 | +125 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -120 | -150 |
Cubs vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 60.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Edwin Rios has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- Nick Madrigal has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 away games (+7.95 Units / 95% ROI)
- Matt Mervis has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Marcus Stroman has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+7.00 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+7.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Luis Severino has hit the Strikeouts Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)
Yankees vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Yankees vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Yankees vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Domingo German | 6.5 +130 | 6.5 -175 |
| Kyle Hendricks | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 60 games (+9.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 60 games (+7.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 46 games at home (+6.00 Units / 12% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 45-43 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -1.43% ROI).
- 41-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -7.35% ROI
- 43-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -3.99% ROI
- 42-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -5.36% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 48-42 against the Run Line (+5.8 Units / 5.2% ROI).
- 49-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 2.89% ROI
- 39-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.6 Units / -12.8% ROI
- 47-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 3.71% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 13% (11/87) against Kyle Hendricks this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 87.0 MPH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of just .280 (49 Total Bases / 175 ABs) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .419 — 99th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 38% of the time (263/695) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (113/287) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 9% (5/55) against Chris Bassitt on curveballs in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 18% (91/515) versus Chris Bassitt in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 7% (4/54) against Domingo German when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Cubs are just 9-13 (.409) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Cubs are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 4-34 (.105) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Cubs are just 24-37 (.393) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Yankees are 27-49 (.355) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Yankees are 16-70 (.186) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .127.
The Yankees are 37-3 (.925) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .430 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Cubs are batting just .288 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 234 walks in 2,227 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .214 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .768 (2,227 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .200 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 53 of 780 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 12% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 39% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.47 (2254.2 IP) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.09.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .192 against Yankees pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Yankees vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Willie Calhoun (Yankees): Quad, D10
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Jakob Bauers (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Hamstring, D10
- Dansby Swanson (Cubs): Heel, D10
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
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