- The Yankees (41-16) are -250 favorites vs the Cubs (23-33)
- Cubs starting pitcher: Wade Miley (1-0), 3.375 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Severino (4-1), 2.945 ERA
- Watch the game on YES
The Chicago Cubs (+200) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-250) on Friday, June 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Cubs vs Yankees Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 23-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 30-27 ATS.
Cubs vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 +105 | O 9 -120 | +200 |
| Yankees | -1.5 -125 | U 9 +100 | -250 |
Cubs vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 57.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 21 away games (+6.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+6.10 Units / 83% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.90 Units / 98% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.25 Units / 49% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 14 away games (+10.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games (+10.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 47 games (+17.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games (+4.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 56 games (+3.70 Units / 6% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 30-26 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.53% ROI).
- 23-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -15.12% ROI
- 28-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.41% ROI
- 26-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -7.69% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 30-27 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 4.55% ROI).
- 41-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.95 Units / 13.1% ROI
- 25-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -13.12% ROI
- 30-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 4.24% ROI
Wade Miley: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 59% of the time (296/501) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 63% of the time (476/755) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total CUT; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Wade Miley has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.3 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (111 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 88.0
Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 63% of the time (516/822) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total CUT; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Severino: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Severino has struck out 37% (45/123) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Severino has allowed an OBP of just .189 (90 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .193 (21-for-109) against Luis Severino this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 92nd Percentile.
Luis Severino has a strikeout rate of 36% (15 SO in 42 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Cubs are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Cubs are just 2-14 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
The Cubs are just 2-9 (.182) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Cubs are just 1-29 (.033) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Yankees are 23-7 (.767) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Yankees are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Yankees are 18-9 (.667) on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Yankees are 16-3 (.842) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .665.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .151 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 35 double plays in 260 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters have 550 strikeouts in 2,205 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Cubs are batting .396 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Yankees hitters are slugging .602 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .438.
Yankees hitters are slugging .316 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Yankees hitters have drawn 587 walks in 5,667 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 778 of 8,306 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cubs pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 61% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Yankees have won 52% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Yankees vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Right Shoulder, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
- Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Sean Newcomb (Cubs): Ankle, D15
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Villar (Cubs): Mouth, D10
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Yan Gomes (Cubs): Oblique, D10
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
- Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
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