Cubs vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 10

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 10, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Yankees (41-16) are -250 favorites vs the Cubs (23-33)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Wade Miley (1-0), 3.375 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Severino (4-1), 2.945 ERA
  • Watch the game on YES

The Chicago Cubs (+200) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-250) on Friday, June 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).

The Cubs vs Yankees Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 23-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 30-27 ATS.

Cubs vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 +105O 9 -120+200
Yankees -1.5 -125U 9 +100-250

Cubs vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 57.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Yankees vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 21 away games (+6.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+6.10 Units / 83% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.90 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 14 away games (+10.25 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games (+10.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 47 games (+17.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games (+4.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 56 games (+3.70 Units / 6% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 30-26 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.53% ROI).

  • 23-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -15.12% ROI
  • 28-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.41% ROI
  • 26-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -7.69% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 30-27 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 4.55% ROI).

  • 41-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.95 Units / 13.1% ROI
  • 25-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -13.12% ROI
  • 30-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 4.24% ROI

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 59% of the time (296/501) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 63% of the time (476/755) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total CUT; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Wade Miley has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.3 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (111 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 88.0

Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 63% of the time (516/822) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total CUT; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Severino: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Severino has struck out 37% (45/123) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Severino has allowed an OBP of just .189 (90 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .193 (21-for-109) against Luis Severino this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 92nd Percentile.

Luis Severino has a strikeout rate of 36% (15 SO in 42 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Cubs are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Cubs are just 2-14 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.

The Cubs are just 2-9 (.182) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

The Cubs are just 1-29 (.033) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Yankees are 23-7 (.767) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Yankees are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .926.

The Yankees are 18-9 (.667) on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Yankees are 16-3 (.842) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .665.

The Cubs are batting just .151 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 35 double plays in 260 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have 550 strikeouts in 2,205 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Cubs are batting .396 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.

Yankees hitters are slugging .602 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .438.

Yankees hitters are slugging .316 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.

Yankees hitters have drawn 587 walks in 5,667 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 778 of 8,306 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cubs pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Yankees pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Yankees pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 61% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Yankees have won 52% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Yankees vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Sean Newcomb (Cubs): Ankle, D15
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Villar (Cubs): Mouth, D10
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Yan Gomes (Cubs): Oblique, D10
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Yankees vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.