Cubs vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 12, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Yankees (43-16) are -225 favorites vs the Cubs (23-35)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Keegan Thompson (6-1), 3.166 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (6-1), 2.729 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Chicago Cubs (+180) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-225) on Sunday, June 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Cubs vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 23-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 31-28 ATS.

Cubs vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -120O 8.5 -110+180
Yankees -1.5 +100U 8.5 -110-225

Cubs vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s matchup with 56.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Yankees vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 13 away games (+5.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+5.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+5.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.15 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+4.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+4.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 16 away games (+10.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+2.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 49 games (+19.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+7.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 55 games (+4.60 Units / 7% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 31-27 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.52% ROI).

  • 23-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -17.73% ROI
  • 28-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -3.99% ROI
  • 28-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -4.31% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 31-28 against the Run Line (+2.8 Units / 4.03% ROI).

  • 43-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.95 Units / 14.32% ROI
  • 25-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -16.17% ROI
  • 32-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 7.19% ROI

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (23/119) against Keegan Thompson this season — tied for 13th lowest among among 106 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 26% — 13th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .152 (7-for-46) against Keegan Thompson on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .245 — 92nd Percentile.

59% of Keegan Thompson’s strikeouts are looking against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Keegan Thompson has struck out just 15% (17/112) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 14th lowest among among 112 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 12th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jameson Taillon has allowed an OPS of just .485 (42 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.017 — 100th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Jameson Taillon against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 381.0 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 399.8

Jameson Taillon has walked 2 of 151 right-handed batters (1%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .132 (5-for-38) against Jameson Taillon when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .326 — 98th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Cubs are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Cubs are just 2-15 (.118) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.

The Cubs are just 6-27 (.182) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Cubs are just 11-20 (.355) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Yankees are 25-7 (.781) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Yankees are 18-9 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Yankees are 17-3 (.850) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .666.

The Yankees are 28-1 (.966) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 263 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs are batting just .151 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .368 (51 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .661.

The Cubs have won just 50% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

Yankees hitters are slugging .635 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .446.

The Yankees have a winning percentage of 78% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

The Yankees have a winning percentage of 73% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Cubs have won just 9% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

The Cubs have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cubs pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 61% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 143 of 2,154 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Gleyber Torres (Yankees): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Jose Trevino (Yankees): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, Day-to-Day
  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.