- The Angels are -120 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-120) on Saturday, July 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Diamondbacks vs Angels Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 49-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 40-44 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -185 | O 10 -105 | +100 |
| Angels | -1.5 +150 | U 10 -115 | -120 |
Diamondbacks vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 56.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+13.35 Units / 54% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+11.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 29 games (+11.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 23 away games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+11.30 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+16.40 Units / 66% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+16.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+10.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Angels vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Angels vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Angels vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Angels vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Ryne Nelson | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 80 games (+19.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 31 away games (+19.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 82 games (+17.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 75 games (+13.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 75 games (+11.55 Units / 12% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+11.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+4.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+1.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 51-32 against the Run Line (+18.25 Units / 17.52% ROI).
- 49-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.75 Units / 16.04% ROI
- 39-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -4.65% ROI
- 39-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -3.38% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 40-44 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -7.33% ROI).
- 44-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -4.3% ROI
- 38-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -6.93% ROI
- 40-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -1.37% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of just 32% (58 SO in 184 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has struck out just 13% (23/177) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of just 16% (58 SO in 361 PAs) this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (47/277) against Ryne Nelson this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 32% of the time (107/336) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 38% of the time (1,196/3,123) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 28% of the time (289/1,043) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 30% (220/725) against Tyler Anderson since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Diamondbacks are just 97-16 (.858) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Diamondbacks are 12-3 (.800) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Diamondbacks are just 107-10 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Diamondbacks are 37-4 (.902) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 13-61 (.176) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Angels are just 44-28 (.611) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Angels are just 9-91 (.090) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .127.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .193 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 155 strikeouts in 870 PA’s (18%) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of .342 (1,713 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .278 (705 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Angels hitters are slugging .418 against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Angels hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,441 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have won 58% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 196 of 2,185 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 74 of 745 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have 143 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most in MLB.
Angels vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brandon Drury (Angels): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Matthew Moore (Angels): Oblique, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Neto (Angels): Oblique, D10
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D15
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Carroll (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Kenneth Kelly (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
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