- The Angels are -120 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers
- Watch the game on BSW
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-120) on Sunday, July 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Diamondbacks vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 50-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 40-45 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -200 | O 8.5 +100 | +100 |
| Angels | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -120 | -120 |
Diamondbacks vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 57.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+13.35 Units / 54% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+11.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 29 games (+11.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+10.85 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+15.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+9.75 Units / 18% ROI)
Angels vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Angels vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Angels vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Angels vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
| Reid Detmers | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 81 games (+20.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 83 games (+18.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 32 away games (+18.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 76 games (+12.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 76 games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+12.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 62 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 52-32 against the Run Line (+19.25 Units / 18.19% ROI).
- 50-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.75 Units / 16.84% ROI
- 39-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -5.77% ROI
- 40-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -2.24% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 40-45 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -8.19% ROI).
- 44-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -5.3% ROI
- 38-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -8.01% ROI
- 41-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.27% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .167 (222 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (72/178) against Zac Gallen with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .139 (29 Total Bases / 209 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .260 — 98th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 57% when ahead in the count (10th lowest)– 15th Percentile and 75% when behind in the count this season (eighth highest among qualified SPs)– 89th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .087 (4-for-46) against Reid Detmers — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.
Reid Detmers has allowed an OBP of just .143 (49 PA’s) over the last 14 days (2 games) — best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .087 (4-for-46) against Reid Detmers over the last 14 days (2 games) — best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Reid Detmers has allowed an OPS of just .295 (49 PA’s) over the last 14 days (2 games) — best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .691 — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Diamondbacks are just 108-10 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Diamondbacks are 12-3 (.800) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Diamondbacks are just 91-23 (.798) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .873.
The Diamondbacks are just 98-16 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Angels are just 11-19 (.367) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 44-28 (.611) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 18-14 (.562) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have just 454 strikeouts in 2,324 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have missed on just 22% of swings this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .779 (2,324 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (184/9,156) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting .270 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Angels hitters have an OBP of .342 (1,713 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Angels hitters have an OPS of .779 (2,473 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Angels hitters have 2,283 strikeouts in 9,235 PA’s (25%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have won 61% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 74 of 754 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 196 of 2,194 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Angels vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brandon Drury (Angels): Shoulder, D10
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Matthew Moore (Angels): Oblique, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Neto (Angels): Oblique, D10
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D15
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Carroll (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Kenneth Kelly (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
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