• The Diamondbacks are -105 favorites vs the Brewers
• Diamondbacks vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Diamondbacks / Brewers TV Channel: DBTV | BRTV

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on April 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 15-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 16-11 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 1-1, 9.32 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Chad Patrick 1-1, 2.35 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jose Fernandez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 54% ROI)
• Jose Fernandez has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.65 Units / 82% ROI)
• Jose Fernandez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 71% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+10.30 Units / 258% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 72% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.60 Units / 53% ROI)
• Sal Frelick has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.60 Units / 44% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+8.90 Units / 59% ROI)
• Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• Sal Frelick has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.75 Units / 35% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.70 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 21 away games (+13.25 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 24% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+8.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 games at home (+6.00 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 19-8 against the Run Line (+9.2 Units / 24.27% ROI).

• 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 13.72% ROI
• 16-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.1 Units / 17.06% ROI
• 10-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -24.75% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 16-11 against the Run Line (+6.75 Units / 20.71% ROI).

• 14-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -9.42% ROI
• 15-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 5.32% ROI
• 12-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -14.48% ROI

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Diamondbacks are 4-5 (.444) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .150.

The Diamondbacks are just 70-21 (.769) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.

The Diamondbacks are just 81-7 (.920) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.

The Diamondbacks are just 78-15 (.839) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Brewers are just 2-11 (.154) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Brewers are 83-9 (.902) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Brewers are 33-26 (.559) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Diamondbacks (seventh in runs scored).

The Brewers are just 10-2 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .891.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .483 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .837 (289 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .316 against LHP this month (16 games) — best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .301 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .339 (3,707 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have chased just 19% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .313 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have 54 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have picked-off 8 runners this season — tied for most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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