- The Diamondbacks are -150 favorites vs the Brewers
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen
- Brewers starting pitcher: Julio Teheran
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-150) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+125) on Wednesday, June 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Diamondbacks vs Brewers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 44-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 32-41 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +105 | O 9 -120 | -150 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -130 | U 9 +100 | +125 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 69.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+14.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+14.55 Units / 69% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+14.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+11.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+11.55 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+13.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 49 games (+10.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 48 games (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.75 Units / 77% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.70 Units / 29% ROI)
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Brewers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pavin Smith | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
| Julio Teheran | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 73 games (+16.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 71 games (+16.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 25 away games (+13.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 66 games (+12.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+9.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 67 games (+7.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.70 Units / 30% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 45-29 against the Run Line (+15 Units / 16.06% ROI).
- 44-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.65 Units / 16.7% ROI
- 36-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -1.09% ROI
- 33-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -7.05% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 32-41 against the Run Line (-12.55 Units / -13.81% ROI).
- 38-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -2.63% ROI
- 31-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -15.3% ROI
- 39-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.05 Units / 6.34% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .312 (198 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .493 — 97th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .172 (198 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 97th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has walked 9 of 179 left-handed batters (5%) this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 84th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .140 (26 Total Bases / 186 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 98th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .056 (1-for-18) against Julio Teheran — 2nd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .235 — 98th Percentile.
Julio Teheran has allowed an OBP of just .236 (110 PA’s) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .316 — 98th Percentile.
Julio Teheran has allowed an OBP of just .100 (20 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best in NL over the last week; League Avg: .303 — 100th Percentile.
Julio Teheran has allowed a BABIP of .220 this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .296 — 98th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Diamondbacks are 9-2 (.818) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .459.
The Diamondbacks are just 102-9 (.919) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Diamondbacks are 32-3 (.914) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Diamondbacks are just 92-15 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Brewers are 5-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .783.
The Brewers are just 0-33 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Brewers are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 28-4 (.875) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .785.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (185/8,769) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 380 strikeouts in 1,984 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .526 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .220 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .646 (687 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Brewers hitters have 636 strikeouts in 2,398 PA’s (27%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (934 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 72% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 45 of 647 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Brewers pitchers have allowed the 4th hardest ball in play hit (114.3 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 116.1).
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- John Sousa (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
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