- The Cardinals are -145 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-145) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 9-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-9 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -115 | +120 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -105 | -145 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+8.55 Units / 122% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.35 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.05 Units / 117% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 39% ROI)
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Jack Flaherty | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.55 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+4.55 Units / 51% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.70 Units / 80% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 11-5 against the Run Line (+5.5 Units / 25.06% ROI).
- 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.4 Units / 31.95% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.8 Units / -10.17% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 2.56% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 7-9 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -15.74% ROI).
- 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -23.96% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -34.1% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 23.96% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly has walked 12 of 64 batters (19%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has walked 8 of 30 right-handed batters (27%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of just 52% (45/86) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of just 56% (76/135) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has walked 14 of 65 batters (21%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has walked 8 of 31 right-handed batters (26%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 81% (13/16) against Jack Flaherty in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strike rate of just 57% (72/126) against right-handed batters this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 107-23 (.823) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Diamondbacks are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 98-33 (.748) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cardinals are 19-4 (.826) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 28-10 (.737) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 24-34 (.414) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Cardinals are 57-34 (.626) at home since the 2022 season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .260 (313 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Diamondbacks hitters have drawn 10 walks in 203 PA’s (5%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .662 (1,892 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .582 (313 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .467 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Cardinals hitters have 287 extra-base hits out of 676 total hits (42%) against LHP since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .805 (2,713 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .460 against LHP since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 19 double plays in 128 opportunities (15%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
- Paul DeJong (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D15
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
