Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 18

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 18, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Cardinals are -165 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Drey Jameson
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+140) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-165) on Tuesday, April 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 10-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-10 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -145O 8 -105+140
Cardinals -1.5 +120U 8 -115-165

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.55 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+7.40 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.55 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 75% ROI)

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Evan Longoria 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Josh Rojas 0.5 +1000 0.5 -10000
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Christian Walker 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Evan Longoria 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Josh Rojas 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Nolan Gorman 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Christian Walker 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Evan Longoria 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Josh Rojas 0.5 +270 0.5 -375
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Christian Walker 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Drey Jameson 3.5 -175 3.5 +130
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.65 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+5.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.70 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 12-5 against the Run Line (+6.5 Units / 27.6% ROI).

  • 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 37.15% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -4.27% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -3.73% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 7-10 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -19.81% ROI).

  • 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -28.51% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.9 Units / -26.7% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 16.49% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 51% (24/47) against Drey Jameson this season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.

Drey Jameson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 41% (20/49) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 48% (12/25) against Drey Jameson this season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 73% (19/26) against Drey Jameson on sliders this season — best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 5% (1/19) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery had a first-pitch strike rate of 85% (23/27) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has attempted to pick off a runner at second base 9 timessince last season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has a strike rate of just 57% (51/90) in two strike counts this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 11th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 64-12 (.842) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 98-33 (.748) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.

The Diamondbacks are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Cardinals are 19-4 (.826) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 37-4 (.902) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .806.

The Cardinals are 69-40 (.633) as favorites since the 2022 season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .603.

The Cardinals are 24-34 (.414) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .262 (346 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.

Diamondbacks hitters have drawn 22 walks in 399 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .293 (399 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.

Diamondbacks hitters have drawn 10 walks in 209 PA’s (5%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .810 (1,471 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Cardinals hitters have 268 extra-base hits out of 629 total hits (43%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The Cardinals are batting .263 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
  • Paul DeJong (Cardinals): Back, D10
  • Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D15
  • Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
  • Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
  • Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.