- The – are favorites vs the –
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jacob Woodford
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Arizona Diamondbacks () visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals () on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 11-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-11 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | O | ||
| Cardinals | U |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 61% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.15 Units / 102% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.10 Units / 89% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+7.60 Units / 127% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 56% ROI)
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Taylor Motter | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Dylan Carlson | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Taylor Motter | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Tommy Edman | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Motter | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Woodford | 2.5 -155 | 2.5 +120 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+9.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.50 Units / 57% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 14 games (+12.70 Units / 78% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.55 Units / 29% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 13-5 against the Run Line (+7.5 Units / 30.06% ROI).
- 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.15 Units / 43.12% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 1.01% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -9.3% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 7-11 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -23.5% ROI).
- 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -33.08% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -20.1% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 9.88% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
36 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since last season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
36 of Madison Bumgarner’s 78 breaking pitch strikeouts (46%) have been backdoor since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 22% (8/36) against Madison Bumgarner on changeups this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 51% — first Percentile.
71 of Madison Bumgarner’s 178 breaking pitch strikeouts (40%) have been backdoor since the 2020 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .357 (15-for-42) against Jake Woodford’s elevated fastball since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .205 — second Percentile.
Jake Woodford has struck out just 14% (23/165) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (82/454) against Jake Woodford since last season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Jake Woodford has a strikeout rate of just 33% (93 SO in 285 PAs) with two-strikes since the 2020 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Diamondbacks are just 99-33 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Diamondbacks are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 109-23 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cardinals are 19-4 (.826) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 28-10 (.737) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 5-70 (.067) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Cardinals are 53-14 (.791) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .667 (1,926 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Diamondbacks hitters have drawn 11 walks in 237 PA’s (5%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 42% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .813 (1,485 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .471 against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters have just 1,077 strikeouts in 5,384 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Shin, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
- Paul DeJong (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D15
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
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