- The Diamondbacks are -120 favorites vs the Cubs
- Diamondbacks vs Cubs Over / Under today: 11 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Cubs TV Channel: DBTV | MARQ
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-105) on Friday, April 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 12-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 11-10 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 0-1, 5.53 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Colin Rea 0-0, 1.00 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +125 | O 11.5 -120 | -115 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -155 | U 11.5 +100 | -105 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+21.30 Units / 304% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+12.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+15.15 Units / 101% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+13.90 Units / 278% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.95 Units / 45% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 162 games (+21.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 84 away games (+15.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 83 away games (+12.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 84 away games (+12.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 84 away games (+10.30 Units / 9% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 83 games at home (+15.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 83 games at home (+6.45 Units / 7% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 11-8 against the Run Line (+4.8 Units / 21.82% ROI).
- 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 11.64% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -4.07% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -4.55% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 11-10 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 5.42% ROI).
- 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 12.43% ROI
- 13-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 24.45% ROI
- 7-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -31.7% ROI
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -220 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -235 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -325 |
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Cubs vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colin Rea (CHC) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
| Corbin Burnes (ARI) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes located his fastball inside 75% of the time (175/234) in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (318/484) since the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 76% of the time (188/248) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 67% of the time (167/248) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 37% (97/260) against Colin Rea in the 2024 season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 17th Percentile.
Colin Rea walked 12 of 270 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Colin Rea allowed a slugging percentage of .479 (124 Total Bases / 259 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — sixth Percentile.
Colin Rea has a first-pitch strike rate of 78% (28/36) this season — 8th highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 62% — 93rd Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Diamondbacks are 1-7 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .028.
The Diamondbacks are 3-7 (.300) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .106.
The Diamondbacks were 67-15 (.807) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Diamondbacks are 77-17 (.811) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cubs are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.
The Cubs are 35-11 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Cubs are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .028.
The Cubs are just 148-22 (.871) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have just 28 strikeouts in 208 PA’s (14%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 16 strikeouts in 130 PA’s (12%) against LHP this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Diamondbacks batted .284 against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .832 (542 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .663.
The Cubs are batting .263 against LHP since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs hitters slugged .456 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Cubs hitters have just 21 strikeouts in 128 PA’s (16%) against LHP this month (12 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 11 of 168 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 5 of 106 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers had an ERA of 3.08 (733.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Cubs pitchers have walked 21 of 185 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 148 of 1,622 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.14 (805.0 IP) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
More MLB Reading:
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