- The Diamondbacks are + favorites vs the Cubs
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+) on Friday, September 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).
The Diamondbacks vs Cubs Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 72-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 73-68 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | + + | O + | + |
| Cubs | + + | U + | + |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 57.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+13.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.60 Units / 61% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+10.20 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 45 games (+19.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 49 games (+16.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 27 games (+15.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+15.15 Units / 27% ROI)
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +130 |
| Jameson Taillon | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 60 away games (+10.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 60 away games (+9.77 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.13 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+7.29 Units / 11% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+15.73 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+8.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+8.11 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+7.73 Units / 25% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 76-63 against the Run Line (+6 Units / 3.38% ROI).
- 72-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 3.66% ROI
- 60-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.5 Units / -13.19% ROI
- 72-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.3 Units / 4.85% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 73-68 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 1.27% ROI).
- 76-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 3.06% ROI
- 71-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.1% ROI
- 64-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.6 Units / -8.88% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .447 (38-for-85) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .340 — fourth Percentile.
Zac Gallen has walked 38 of 719 batters (5%) this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 84th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 76% (32/42) against Zac Gallen on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 53% — 0 Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .191 (377 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 93rd Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery had a strike rate of just 62% (531/850) in two strike counts in 2022 — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — eighth Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 16 of 670 right-handed batters (2%) since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (15 Total Bases / 25 ABs) with two-strikes — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .261 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .320 (8-for-25) against Jameson Taillon with two-strikes — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .158 — fifth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Diamondbacks are just 111-21 (.841) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks are just 31-14 (.689) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Diamondbacks are just 53-36 (.596) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Diamondbacks are just 126-13 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cubs are just 32-40 (.444) after a home loss since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Cubs are 17-13 (.567) after a loss as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Cubs are just 29-32 (.475) after a loss as favorites since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs are just 3-128 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (184/11,279) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .683 (3,162 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,162 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .518 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
The Cubs are batting .309 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Cubs hitters have 103 extra-base hits out of 327 total hits (just 32%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 85 of 1,252 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (3,503 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Cubs pitchers have walked 4 of 125 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (14 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Cubs pitchers with the shift this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Fulmer (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Rib, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Dominic Fletcher (Diamondbacks): Finger, D60
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Austin Adams (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D60
- Thomas Henry (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Drey Jameson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
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