- The Dodgers are -275 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+220) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-275) on Saturday, April 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 0-0 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 +105 | O 7.5 +100 | +220 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -125 | U 7.5 -120 | -275 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Hager has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.85 Units / 195% ROI)
- Hanser Alberto has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Madison Bumgarner | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -150 |
| Clayton Kershaw | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 94 of their last 163 games (+20.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 99 of their last 167 games (+25.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+17.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 167 games (+6.55 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.45 Units / 23% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
34 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in 2022 — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
34 of Madison Bumgarner’s 73 breaking pitch strikeouts (47%) were backdoor in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
65 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the 2021 season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
65 of Madison Bumgarner’s 156 breaking pitch strikeouts (42%) have been backdoor since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 39% (121/312) against Clayton Kershaw when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 64% of the time (450/706) when behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 64% of the time (448/706) when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 38% (142/372) against Clayton Kershaw when he’s behind in the count since the 2020 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are just 92-33 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Diamondbacks are just 101-23 (.815) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Diamondbacks were just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Diamondbacks are just 107-10 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when underdogs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Dodgers were 26-15 (.634) vs the 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Dodgers were 5-40 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Dodgers are 51-33 (.607) vs the 10 runs allowed teams since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Diamondbacks hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 15%.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of just .296 (728 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2022 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters slugged .444 against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Dodgers hitters had an OBP of .337 (4,473 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Dodgers hitters had an OPS of .781 (4,473 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Dodgers hitters drew 447 walks in 4,473 PA’s (10%) against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (1435.1 IP) on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Opponents batted just .209 against Dodgers pitchers in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 42% of the time since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Ankle, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
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