- The Dodgers are -145 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Robert Miller
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) on Monday, August 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 68-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 72-57 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -115 | +120 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -105 | -145 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 58.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Under in his last 12 away games (+13.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 away games (+11.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.25 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+18.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 44 games (+16.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+15.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+15.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+14.95 Units / 24% ROI)
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
| Bobby Miller | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 56 away games (+11.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.06 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.94 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 56 away games (+9.40 Units / 14% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 103 games (+22.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 109 games (+19.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 52 games at home (+11.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games at home (+5.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+2.10 Units / 11% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 72-57 against the Run Line (+9.85 Units / 5.98% ROI).
- 68-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 6.1% ROI
- 55-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.85 Units / -13.76% ROI
- 67-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.8 Units / 5.58% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 72-57 against the Run Line (+18.2 Units / 11.78% ROI).
- 80-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 2.39% ROI
- 73-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.9 Units / 12.56% ROI
- 50-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -29.6 Units / -20.92% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .450 (36-for-80) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .343 — fifth Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .271 (668 PA’s) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .305 — 93rd Percentile.
Zac Gallen has walked 34 of 668 batters (5%) this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 86th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .367 (355 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .503 — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has allowed an OPS of just .423 (46 PA’s) — 7th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .685 — 92nd Percentile.
Bobby Miller has a strike rate of 77% (75/97) over the past seven days (1 games) — highest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 12 innings — Jakob Junis has the longest active streak at 17.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are just 107-21 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks are just 29-14 (.674) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Diamondbacks are just 122-13 (.904) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Diamondbacks are just 16-7 (.696) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are 36-15 (.706) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Dodgers are 35-14 (.714) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Dodgers are 168-26 (.866) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Dodgers are 16-6 (.727) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 24 strikeouts in 161 PA’s (15%) against LHP over the last 14 days (10 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have 142 extra-base hits out of 309 total hits (46%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 16 double plays in 343 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .772 (3,447 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
The Dodgers have scored 475 runs in innings 7-9 since last season — most in MLB.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 777 of 10,674 batters (7%) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Kelly (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Groin, D10
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Austin Adams (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D60
- Kenneth Kelly (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Henry (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Drey Jameson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
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