- The Dodgers are -185 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+150) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-185) on Tuesday, August 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 68-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 73-57 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -135 | O 7.5 -105 | +150 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +110 | U 7.5 -115 | -185 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 78.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+12.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+12.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.40 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.95 Units / 63% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+15.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 45 games (+15.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+14.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.25 Units / 46% ROI)
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
| Merrill Kelly | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +110 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 57 away games (+12.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.06 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 57 away games (+10.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.89 Units / 16% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 104 games (+23.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 65 of their last 110 games (+20.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 53 games at home (+12.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 56 games at home (+6.74 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games at home (+0.80 Units / 4% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 72-58 against the Run Line (+8.3 Units / 4.99% ROI).
- 68-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 5.43% ROI
- 56-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.85 Units / -12.96% ROI
- 67-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.7 Units / 4.76% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 73-57 against the Run Line (+19.55 Units / 12.57% ROI).
- 81-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 2.84% ROI
- 74-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +18.9 Units / 13.16% ROI
- 50-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.7 Units / -21.53% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .213 (105-for-493) against Merrill Kelly this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — 89th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .045 (22 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — best in NL over the last week; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .273 (15-for-55) against Merrill Kelly on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .343 — 92nd Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .197 (49-for-249) against Merrill Kelly this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 — 95th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 58% of the time (358/618) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 58% of Clayton Kershaw’s breaking pitches (590/1,016) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 58% of Clayton Kershaw’s non-fastballs (596/1,031) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 59% of the time (362/618) when behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are just 107-21 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks are just 122-13 (.904) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are just 29-14 (.674) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Diamondbacks are just 50-35 (.588) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are 36-15 (.706) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Dodgers are 35-14 (.714) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Dodgers are 169-26 (.867) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Dodgers are 69-6 (.920) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 750 strikeouts in 3,640 PA’s (21%) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .680 (3,048 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .964 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .590.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 16 double plays in 343 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .771 (3,456 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Dodgers hitters have 142 extra-base hits out of 309 total hits (46%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have scored 476 runs in innings 7-9 since last season — most in MLB.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers this season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.2
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.8 MPH (3,344 batted balls) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.29 (1330.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
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