- The Dodgers are -165 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson, 36.00 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Michael Grove, 9.00 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+140) visit Camelback Ranch to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-165) on Thursday, March 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Phoenix.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 2-2 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -125 | O 11 -105 | +140 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +105 | U 11 -115 | -165 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s Spring Training matchup with 65.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Hager has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jake Hager has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+1.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- Buddy Kennedy has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+0.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jake Hager has hit the Runs Under in 2 of his last 3 away games (+0.50 Units / 7% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.85 Units / 195% ROI)
- Hanser Alberto has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Will Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 151 games (+24.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 69 games (+8.20 Units / 11% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 163 games (+25.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+18.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+17.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 93 games (+14.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -37.65% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -32.79% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 25% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -35.94% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 2-2 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 3.26% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -14.55% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 42.22% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -51.16% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson has limited playing time.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Grove allowed a slugging percentage of .478 (22 Total Bases / 46 ABs) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .253 — third Percentile.
Michael Grove allowed an OPS of .738 (50 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .483 — fourth Percentile.
Michael Grove walked 2 of 54 left-handed batters (4%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 90th Percentile.
Michael Grove threw breaking pitches 50% of the time (156/314) over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 92nd Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Diamondbacks are just 33-184 (.152) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are 25-89 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Dodgers are 100-20 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Dodgers are 124-68 (.646) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Diamondbacks hitters chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OPS of just .655 (1,689 PA’s) against LHP last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters had an OBP of .337 (4,473 PA’s) against RHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (8,886 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (3,757 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (1435.1 IP) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
The Dodgers allowed 2.90 runs per game (235/81) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH since the start of the 2021 season (7,469 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
