- The Dodgers are -165 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson, 36.00 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Michael Grove, 9.00 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+140) visit Camelback Ranch to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-165) on Thursday, March 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Phoenix.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 2-2 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Diamondbacks | +1.5 -125 | O 11 -105 | +140 |
Dodgers | -1.5 +105 | U 11 -115 | -165 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s Spring Training matchup with 65.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Hager has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jake Hager has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+1.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- Buddy Kennedy has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+0.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jake Hager has hit the Runs Under in 2 of his last 3 away games (+0.50 Units / 7% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.85 Units / 195% ROI)
- Hanser Alberto has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Will Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 151 games (+24.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 69 games (+8.20 Units / 11% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 163 games (+25.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+18.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+17.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 93 games (+14.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -37.65% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -32.79% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 25% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -35.94% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 2-2 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 3.26% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -14.55% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 42.22% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -51.16% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson has limited playing time.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Grove allowed a slugging percentage of .478 (22 Total Bases / 46 ABs) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .253 — third Percentile.
Michael Grove allowed an OPS of .738 (50 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .483 — fourth Percentile.
Michael Grove walked 2 of 54 left-handed batters (4%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 90th Percentile.
Michael Grove threw breaking pitches 50% of the time (156/314) over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 92nd Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Diamondbacks are just 33-184 (.152) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are 25-89 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Dodgers are 100-20 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Dodgers are 124-68 (.646) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Diamondbacks hitters chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OPS of just .655 (1,689 PA’s) against LHP last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters had an OBP of .337 (4,473 PA’s) against RHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (8,886 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (3,757 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (1435.1 IP) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
The Dodgers allowed 2.90 runs per game (235/81) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH since the start of the 2021 season (7,469 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
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