- The Dodgers are -175 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen, – ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías, – ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+145) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) on Thursday, March 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 10-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 8-14 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -150 | O 7 +100 | +145 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +125 | U 7 -120 | -175 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 -105 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -110 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Urias | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +100 |
| Zac Gallen | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -120 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 151 games (+24.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 163 games (+25.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+17.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 93 games (+14.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.80 Units / 25% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 11-9 against the Run Line (+2.2 Units / 8.64% ROI).
- 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 8.11% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -4.91% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -2.78% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 8-14 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -24.84% ROI).
- 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -15.44% ROI
- 7-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -5 Units / -20.7% ROI
- 11-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 13.96% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .186 (121-for-651) against Zac Gallen last season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .146 (45-for-308) against Zac Gallen last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .135 (23-for-171) against Zac Gallen when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.
Zac Gallen allowed an OPS of just .560 (714 PA’s) last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .664 — 97th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Julio Urias has a strike rate of 73% (912/1,250) vs left-handed batters since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Julio Urias threw his curveball 33% of the time (156/477) when behind in the count last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (541/1,250) vs left-handed batters since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total CB; League Avg: 19% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .269 (153-for-569) against Julio Urias in non-two strike counts since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .332 — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Diamondbacks are just 54-17 (.761) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Dodgers are 25-89 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Dodgers are 43-3 (.935) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Dodgers are 124-68 (.646) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Diamondbacks batted just .229 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Diamondbacks hitters put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 67% on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (3,757 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Dodgers hitters had an OPS of .762 (1,885 PA’s) in innings 7-9 last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 67% since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Diamondbacks pitchers last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers last season traveled 503.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 464.1
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.26 runs per game (528/162) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (1435.1 IP) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Dodgers pitchers with runners on base since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Ankle, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D15
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
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