- The Dodgers are -190 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Dustin May
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+155) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-190) on Friday, March 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 0-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 1-0 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -130 | O 7.5 -110 | +155 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +105 | U 7.5 -110 | -190 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 72.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Hager has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.85 Units / 195% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Will Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| May | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
| Merrill Kelly | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -165 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 94 of their last 163 games (+20.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 99 of their last 167 games (+25.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+17.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 167 games (+6.55 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.45 Units / 23% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 0-1 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 1-0 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 130% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 60.61% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .124 (47-for-380) against Merrill Kelly with two-strikes in 2022 — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — 95th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly had a strike rate of 70% (608/864) in two strike counts in 2022 — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 93rd Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has located his pitches away 55% of the time (695/1,254) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
32% of Merrill Kelly’s strikeouts were looking in 2022 — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 91st Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 23% (27/120) against Dustin May over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 30% — fourth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are just 101-23 (.815) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 92-33 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Diamondbacks are just 27-154 (.149) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when underdogs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Dodgers were 5-40 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Dodgers were just 1-3 (.250) when underdogs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Dodgers were 26-15 (.634) vs the 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are just 101-23 (.815) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of just .292 (1,689 PA’s) against LHP in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Diamondbacks batted just .229 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .219 with two outs since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters slugged .444 against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Dodgers won 67% of their road games in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (3,757 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers allowed 2.90 runs per game (235/81) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.26 runs per game (528/162) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (1435.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Ankle, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D15
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
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