Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 21

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 21, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Dodgers (103-45) are -300 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (69-80)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner (6-15), 5.01 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Dustin May (2-2), 3.46 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet LA

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+240) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-300) on Wednesday, September 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 68-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 89-56 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+2.5 -125O 8.5 +100+240
Dodgers -2.5 -105U 8.5 -120-300

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 68.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 28 away games (+12.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 43 games (+12.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+11.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.50 Units / 49% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 44 of his last 84 games (+19.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 63 of his last 96 games (+16.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 59 games at home (+12.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 39 of his last 63 games (+12.85 Units / 18% ROI)

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Justin Turner 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Max Muncy 0.5 +270 0.5 -450

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Freddie Freeman 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Justin Turner 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Max Muncy 0.5 -190 0.5 +135

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Justin Turner 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Max Muncy 0.5 +120 0.5 -175

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
May 5.5 -110 5.5 -125
Madison Bumgarner 3.5 -165 3.5 +115
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 71 games (+33.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 away games (+13.75 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 64 games (+13.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 47 games at home (+6.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.50 Units / 22% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 84-62 against the Run Line (+18.9 Units / 10.19% ROI).

  • 68-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.15% ROI
  • 65-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.45 Units / -11.52% ROI
  • 76-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 2.14% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 89-56 against the Run Line (+29.4 Units / 16.84% ROI).

  • 101-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.55 Units / 4.28% ROI
  • 61-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.55 Units / -12.24% ROI
  • 73-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 3.6% ROI

64 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of last season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Madison Bumgarner has allowed a slugging percentage of .762 (16 Total Bases / 21 ABs) with two-strikes — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.

64 of Madison Bumgarner’s 153 breaking pitch strikeouts (42%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

33 of Madison Bumgarner’s 70 breaking pitch strikeouts (47%) have been backdoor this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.

Dustin May: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dustin May has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to August 27th — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 6.

Dustin May has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 8.2 innings pitched — Jonathan Loaisiga has the longest active streak at 23.0.

Dustin May has pitched 8.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Pete Fairbanks has the longest active streak at 19.1.

Dustin May has walked 9 of 64 batters (14%) this month (3 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Diamondbacks are just 108-34 (.761) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.

The Diamondbacks are just 51-15 (.773) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.

The Diamondbacks are just 119-22 (.844) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Diamondbacks are just 32-178 (.152) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Dodgers are 52-26 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Dodgers are 122-67 (.646) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .464.

The Dodgers are 50-19 (.725) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Dodgers are 214-42 (.836) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .661 (1,519 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Diamondbacks hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .298 in hitter’s counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .453 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .771 (3,599 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (8,560 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .791 (4,147 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Diamondbacks pitchers over the last 14 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Diamondbacks pitchers this month (20 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.60 (689.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.83 (1406.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.

The Dodgers have allowed 2.94 runs per game (229/78) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.91 (2766.2 IP) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • David Price (Dodgers): Wrist, D15
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Toe, D15
  • Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks): Arm, Day-to-Day
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.