- The Dodgers (103-45) are -300 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (69-80)
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner (6-15), 5.01 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Dustin May (2-2), 3.46 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+240) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-300) on Wednesday, September 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 68-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 89-56 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +2.5 -125 | O 8.5 +100 | +240 |
| Dodgers | -2.5 -105 | U 8.5 -120 | -300 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 68.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 28 away games (+12.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 43 games (+12.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+11.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.50 Units / 49% ROI)
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 44 of his last 84 games (+19.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 63 of his last 96 games (+16.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 59 games at home (+12.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 39 of his last 63 games (+12.85 Units / 18% ROI)
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Freddie Freeman | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| May | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -125 |
| Madison Bumgarner | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 71 games (+33.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 away games (+13.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 64 games (+13.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 47 games at home (+6.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+5.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.50 Units / 22% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 84-62 against the Run Line (+18.9 Units / 10.19% ROI).
- 68-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.15% ROI
- 65-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.45 Units / -11.52% ROI
- 76-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 2.14% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 89-56 against the Run Line (+29.4 Units / 16.84% ROI).
- 101-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.55 Units / 4.28% ROI
- 61-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.55 Units / -12.24% ROI
- 73-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 3.6% ROI
Madison Bumgarner: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
64 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of last season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Madison Bumgarner has allowed a slugging percentage of .762 (16 Total Bases / 21 ABs) with two-strikes — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.
64 of Madison Bumgarner’s 153 breaking pitch strikeouts (42%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
33 of Madison Bumgarner’s 70 breaking pitch strikeouts (47%) have been backdoor this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Dustin May: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dustin May has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to August 27th — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 6.
Dustin May has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 8.2 innings pitched — Jonathan Loaisiga has the longest active streak at 23.0.
Dustin May has pitched 8.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Pete Fairbanks has the longest active streak at 19.1.
Dustin May has walked 9 of 64 batters (14%) this month (3 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are just 108-34 (.761) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.
The Diamondbacks are just 51-15 (.773) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Diamondbacks are just 119-22 (.844) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Diamondbacks are just 32-178 (.152) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are 52-26 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Dodgers are 122-67 (.646) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Dodgers are 50-19 (.725) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Dodgers are 214-42 (.836) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .661 (1,519 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Diamondbacks hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .298 in hitter’s counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .453 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .771 (3,599 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (8,560 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .791 (4,147 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Diamondbacks pitchers over the last 14 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Diamondbacks pitchers this month (20 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.60 (689.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.83 (1406.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
The Dodgers have allowed 2.94 runs per game (229/78) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.91 (2766.2 IP) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- David Price (Dodgers): Wrist, D15
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
- Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Toe, D15
- Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks): Arm, Day-to-Day
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
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