Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 16

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 16, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Giants (58-57) are -125 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (53-62)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (10-5), 2.94 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Jakob Junis (4-3), 3.77 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-125) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Diamondbacks vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 53-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 53-62 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -200O 8 -115+105
Giants -1.5 +165U 8 -105-125

Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 66.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Giants vs Diamondbacks and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 41 of his last 76 games (+22.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 36 of his last 51 away games (+14.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 51 of his last 76 games (+12.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+11.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 52% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+8.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.35 Units / 27% ROI)

Giants vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Joc Pederson 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Joey Bart 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Giants vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Brandon Crawford 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Joc Pederson 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Joey Bart 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 -190 0.5 +135

Giants vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Joc Pederson 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Joey Bart 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

Giants vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Junis 4.5 +115 4.5 -165
Merrill Kelly 4.5 -140 4.5 +100
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 104 games (+16.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 37 games (+15.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 away games (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games at home (+15.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 35 games at home (+5.45 Units / 14% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 66-49 against the Run Line (+13.7 Units / 9.27% ROI).

  • 53-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -3.18% ROI
  • 51-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -10.81% ROI
  • 59-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 1.49% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 53-62 against the Run Line (-15.75 Units / -11.03% ROI).

  • 58-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.3 Units / -10.03% ROI
  • 56-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -0.92% ROI
  • 52-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.55 Units / -8.22% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .127 (9-for-71) against Merrill Kelly’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .220 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .135 (35-for-260) against Merrill Kelly with two-strikes this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — 86th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .196 (18-for-92) against Merrill Kelly on inside fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — 91st Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 20% (45/219) against Merrill Kelly this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 90th Percentile.

Jakob Junis: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jakob Junis has thrown his slider 53% of the time (541/1,019) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to July 25th — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 8.

Jakob Junis has recorded 21 of his 25 strikeouts (84%) vs left-handed batters with his slider this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has thrown off-speed pitches 69% of the time (701/1,019) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total NonFB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are just 106-18 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Diamondbacks are just 96-27 (.780) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 50-115 (.303) on the road since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .462.

The Diamondbacks are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 29-7 (.806) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Giants are 21-114 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Giants are 47-2 (.959) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .887.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .221 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .289 (507 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .223 on the road since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

The Giants are batting just .218 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Giants hitters have an OBP of .252 (5,743 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Giants have a winning percentage of 57% on the road since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Giants pitchers have walked 152 of 2,482 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers have walked 731 of 10,318 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
  • Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Ketel Marte (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Giants vs Diamondbacks and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.