- The Giants (58-57) are -125 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (53-62)
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly (10-5), 2.94 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Jakob Junis (4-3), 3.77 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-125) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Diamondbacks vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 53-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 53-62 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -115 | +105 |
| Giants | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -105 | -125 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 66.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 41 of his last 76 games (+22.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 36 of his last 51 away games (+14.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 51 of his last 76 games (+12.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+11.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+8.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.35 Units / 27% ROI)
Giants vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Junis | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -165 |
| Merrill Kelly | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 104 games (+16.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 37 games (+15.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 away games (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.85 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games at home (+15.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 35 games at home (+5.45 Units / 14% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 66-49 against the Run Line (+13.7 Units / 9.27% ROI).
- 53-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -3.18% ROI
- 51-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -10.81% ROI
- 59-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 1.49% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 53-62 against the Run Line (-15.75 Units / -11.03% ROI).
- 58-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.3 Units / -10.03% ROI
- 56-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -0.92% ROI
- 52-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.55 Units / -8.22% ROI
Kenneth Kelly: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .127 (9-for-71) against Merrill Kelly’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .220 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .135 (35-for-260) against Merrill Kelly with two-strikes this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — 86th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .196 (18-for-92) against Merrill Kelly on inside fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — 91st Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 20% (45/219) against Merrill Kelly this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 90th Percentile.
Jakob Junis: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jakob Junis has thrown his slider 53% of the time (541/1,019) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Jakob Junis has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to July 25th — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 8.
Jakob Junis has recorded 21 of his 25 strikeouts (84%) vs left-handed batters with his slider this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Jakob Junis has thrown off-speed pitches 69% of the time (701/1,019) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total NonFB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Diamondbacks are just 106-18 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Diamondbacks are just 96-27 (.780) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 50-115 (.303) on the road since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Diamondbacks are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Giants are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 29-7 (.806) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Giants are 21-114 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Giants are 47-2 (.959) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .887.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .221 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .289 (507 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .223 on the road since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .218 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Giants hitters have an OBP of .252 (5,743 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Giants have a winning percentage of 57% on the road since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Giants pitchers have walked 152 of 2,482 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 731 of 10,318 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
- Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Ketel Marte (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
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