Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 17

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 17, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Giants (59-57) are -225 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (53-63)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies (2-4), 4.10 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (11-6), 2.94 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+180) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-225) on Wednesday, August 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Diamondbacks vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 53-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 53-63 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -115O 7.5 -120+180
Giants -1.5 -105U 7.5 +100-225

Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 51.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 41 of his last 77 games (+21.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 37 of his last 52 away games (+15.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+11.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 52% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+12.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Joey Bart has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+9.50 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)

Giants vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Evan Longoria 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Joc Pederson 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Joey Bart 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Giants vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Brandon Crawford 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Evan Longoria 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Joc Pederson 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Joey Bart 0.5 -140 0.5 -105

Giants vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Evan Longoria 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Joc Pederson 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Joey Bart 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

Giants vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Rodon 7.5 -110 7.5 -130
Zach Davies 3.5 -105 3.5 -135
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 105 games (+17.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 38 games (+16.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+2.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games at home (+14.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 36 games at home (+6.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.30 Units / 24% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 67-49 against the Run Line (+14.7 Units / 9.81% ROI).

  • 53-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -3.91% ROI
  • 51-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.65 Units / -11.54% ROI
  • 60-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 2.26% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 53-63 against the Run Line (-16.75 Units / -11.65% ROI).

  • 59-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.3 Units / -9.38% ROI
  • 56-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -1.74% ROI
  • 53-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.55 Units / -7.37% ROI

Zach Davies has located his pitches away 70% of the time (273/387) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Zach Davies has a first-pitch strike rate of just 53% (562/1,054) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 35% of Zach Davies’ fastballs (734/2,121) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 21% (225/1,054) against Zach Davies on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

Carlos Rodón: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 40% (91 SO in 230 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of just .227 (41 Total Bases / 181 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — 96th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 37% (42 SO in 114 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 31% (168 SO in 540 PAs) this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 91st Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are just 96-28 (.774) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 106-19 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Diamondbacks are just 10-31 (.244) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 28-166 (.144) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are 47-2 (.959) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Giants are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are just 7-9 (.438) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 29-7 (.806) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .198 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .216 with two outs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .217 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Giants are batting just .217 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Giants are batting just .132 on pitches out of the zone this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.

Giants hitters have an OPS of .718 (3,259 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 731 of 10,351 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
  • Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Ketel Marte (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.