Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 18

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 18, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Giants (59-58) are -150 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (54-63)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen (8-2), 2.94 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb (11-5), 3.00 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+125) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-150) on Thursday, August 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Diamondbacks vs Giants Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 54-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 53-64 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -165O 7 -110+125
Giants -1.5 +140U 7 -110-150

Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s matchup with 65.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 41 of his last 78 games (+20.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 37 of his last 53 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 26 away games (+13.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+12.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+12.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+10.05 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Joey Bart has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+9.50 Units / 79% ROI)

Giants vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Evan Longoria 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Joc Pederson 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Joey Bart 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600

Giants vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Brandon Crawford 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Evan Longoria 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Joc Pederson 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Joey Bart 0.5 -110 0.5 -125

Giants vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Evan Longoria 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Joc Pederson 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Joey Bart 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Giants vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Logan Webb 4.5 -150 4.5 +105
Zac Gallen 5.5 -145 5.5 +100
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 106 games (+18.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 39 games (+17.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 away games (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+4.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 54 games at home (+13.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 37 games at home (+7.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.95 Units / 9% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 68-49 against the Run Line (+15.7 Units / 10.39% ROI).

  • 54-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -2.53% ROI
  • 51-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.9 Units / -12.41% ROI
  • 61-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 3.05% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 53-64 against the Run Line (-17.75 Units / -12.26% ROI).

  • 59-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.5 Units / -10.51% ROI
  • 56-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -2.7% ROI
  • 54-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.5 Units / -6.51% ROI

Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 58% when ahead in the count (fourth lowest)– seventh Percentile and 73% when behind in the count this season (ninth highest among qualified SPs)– 85th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 21% (102/494) against Zac Gallen this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 12th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (30/161) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — ninth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .135 (35-for-259) against Zac Gallen with two-strikes this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — 84th Percentile.

Logan Webb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 66% of the time (1,077/1,642) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 63% of the time (1,373/2,181) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 62% of the time (1,970/3,200) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (258/439) against Logan Webb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are just 96-28 (.774) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 106-19 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Diamondbacks are just 10-31 (.244) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 39-9 (.812) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 6-45 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .089.

The Giants are 22-114 (.162) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Giants are 47-3 (.940) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .215 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .285 (522 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .150 against LHP this month (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .444 (68 PA’s) against LHP this month (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .696.

The Giants are batting just .216 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

The Giants have a winning percentage of 59% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Giants hitters have an OPS of .715 (1,400 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .683.

Giants hitters have chased 27% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 733 of 10,388 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
  • Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Ketel Marte (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.