Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 12, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Giants (43-42) are -225 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (39-48)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Dallas Keuchel (2-6), 7.63 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb (7-3), 2.98 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+180) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-225) on Tuesday, July 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Diamondbacks vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 39-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 41-44 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -115O 8 -115+180
Giants -1.5 -105U 8 -105-225

Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+17.95 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+11.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+9.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Buddy Kennedy has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 away games (+6.70 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Buddy Kennedy has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 away games (+6.70 Units / 63% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Belt has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 65% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.20 Units / 28% ROI)

Giants vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Slater 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Austin Wynns 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Darin Ruf 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
David Villar 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Giants vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Slater 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Austin Wynns 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Brandon Crawford 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Darin Ruf 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
David Villar 0.5 -190 0.5 +135

Giants vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Slater 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Austin Wynns 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Darin Ruf 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
David Villar 0.5 +155 0.5 -225

Giants vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dallas Keuchel 3.5 +120 3.5 -165
Logan Webb 4.5 -175 4.5 +120
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 76 games (+9.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 65 games (+7.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+5.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 40 games (+2.85 Units / 5% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 49-38 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 6.24% ROI).

  • 39-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -4.18% ROI
  • 39-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.1 Units / -10.59% ROI
  • 45-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 1.56% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 41-44 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -5.31% ROI).

  • 43-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -12.79% ROI
  • 41-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -2.41% ROI
  • 39-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.6 Units / -6.99% ROI

Dallas Keuchel has an ERA of 7.63 (48.1 IP)this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 3.82 — 0 Percentile.

Dallas Keuchel has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (266/404) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.

Dallas Keuchel has located his fastball low 64% of the time (955/1,496) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Dallas Keuchel has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 93.1 — first Percentile.

Logan Webb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .433 (26-for-60) against Logan Webb on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .270 — sixth Percentile.

Logan Webb has allowed an OPS of just .534 (248 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .682 — 96th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 71% of the time (671/946) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 61% of the time (1,071/1,756) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are just 86-24 (.782) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 94-16 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Diamondbacks are 6-36 (.143) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.

The Diamondbacks are just 29-4 (.879) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are 30-5 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Giants are 19-102 (.157) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Giants are 34-2 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .888.

The Giants are 21-6 (.778) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .195 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .178 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .579 (1,837 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Giants are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.

Giants hitters have drawn 665 walks in 6,838 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Giants are batting just .209 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Giants pitchers have walked 645 of 9,189 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Thomas La Stella (Giants): COVID-19, D10
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D15
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Ian Kennedy (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
  • Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.