- The – are favorites vs the –
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Arizona Diamondbacks () visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants () on Monday, July 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Diamondbacks vs Giants Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 56-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 53-53 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | O | ||
| Giants | U |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 52.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 27 games (+17.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+14.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+17.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+17.70 Units / 68% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 29 games (+16.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+14.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+13.95 Units / 33% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 42 away games (+17.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 49 away games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 47 away games (+7.65 Units / 12% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 59 games (+17.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 92 games (+14.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 66 games (+11.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games at home (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 58-48 against the Run Line (+4.3 Units / 3.19% ROI).
- 56-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 5.21% ROI
- 47-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -12 Units / -10.12% ROI
- 53-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.55 Units / 2.22% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 53-53 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -2.63% ROI).
- 58-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.43% ROI
- 45-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.1 Units / -16.26% ROI
- 58-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.25 Units / 7.99% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .434 (92 Total Bases / 212 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — fourth Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of just 32% (74 SO in 233 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .399 (85 Total Bases / 213 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .266 — third Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has struck out just 13% (29/226) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ross Stripling has allowed a slugging percentage of .457 (59 Total Bases / 129 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .278 — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 30 of Ross Stripling’s 184 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 16%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .264 (34-for-129) against Ross Stripling with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .174 — first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 93 of Ross Stripling’s 476 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Diamondbacks are just 100-19 (.840) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Diamondbacks are just 112-12 (.903) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Diamondbacks are just 28-14 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Diamondbacks are 42-8 (.840) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Giants are 31-24 (.564) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Giants are 39-24 (.619) after a road win since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Giants are 18-8 (.692) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Giants are 4-43 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (184/9,722) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .485 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 777 strikeouts in 3,140 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .190 on the road over the last 30 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .304 (1,208 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .672 (1,208 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 713 of 10,034 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Hand, D10
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D15
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Gabriel Moreno (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D10
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Evan Longoria (Diamondbacks): Back, D10
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Thomas Henry (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
- Drey Jameson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
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