- The Diamondbacks are -115 favorites vs the Giants
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kenneth Kelly
- Giants starting pitcher: Ryan Walker
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-105) on Saturday, June 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Diamondbacks vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +145 | O 8 -105 | -115 |
| Giants | +1.5 -175 | U 8 -115 | -105 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 80.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+15.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+14.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+13.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+13.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+11.75 Units / 90% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.95 Units / 62% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 50% ROI)
Giants vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -105 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 75 games (+18.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 73 games (+18.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 27 away games (+15.50 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 68 games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 away games (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 56 games (+11.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 56 games (+5.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 46% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .167 (27-for-162) against Merrill Kelly this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has walked 20 of 175 right-handed batters (11%) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .146 (21-for-144) against Merrill Kelly’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .220 — 98th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has walked 35 of 354 batters (10%) this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 14th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele located 43% of his pitches inside (218/512) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 34% (26/77) versus Justin Steele with runners in scoring position in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Justin Steele threw fastballs 71% of the time (364/512) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 52% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents batted .375 (27-for-72) against Justin Steele on low fastballs in 2022 — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .277 — seventh Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Diamondbacks are just 104-9 (.920) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Diamondbacks are 10-2 (.833) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .458.
The Diamondbacks are just 87-22 (.798) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .873.
The Diamondbacks are just 26-12 (.684) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Giants are 29-23 (.558) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Giants are 13-5 (.722) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Giants are 4-29 (.121) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Giants are 9-23 (.281) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have just 402 strikeouts in 2,103 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .196 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Diamondbacks have scored 134 runs in late innings this season — most in MLB.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Giants hitters have an OPS of .729 (2,865 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
The Giants are batting .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters have an OPS of .788 (1,488 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have won 58% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Cobb (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Scott Alexander (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Wilmer Flores (Giants): Foot, D10
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
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