- The Giants are -130 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson
- Giants starting pitcher: Anthony DeSclafani
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on Sunday, June 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Diamondbacks vs Giants Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 46-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 42-35 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -110 | +105 |
| Giants | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -110 | -130 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 60.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+13.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 22 away games (+13.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+12.70 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+11.75 Units / 90% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.95 Units / 62% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 18 games at home (+8.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 46% ROI)
Giants vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Corbin Carroll | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
| Ryne Nelson | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +110 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 29 away games (+17.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 77 games (+16.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 75 games (+16.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 70 games (+10.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 away games (+8.30 Units / 22% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games (+15.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 58 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 67 games (+12.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 58 games (+6.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 55% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 47-31 against the Run Line (+14.7 Units / 15.03% ROI).
- 46-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.5 Units / 15.68% ROI
- 38-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -1.26% ROI
- 35-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -6.98% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 42-35 against the Run Line (+5.75 Units / 5.62% ROI).
- 44-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.05 Units / 5.24% ROI
- 38-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -3.11% ROI
- 37-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -5.1% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .299 (90-for-301) against Ryne Nelson this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — second Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of just 30% (52 SO in 172 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has struck out just 13% (20/159) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (42/260) against Ryne Nelson this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anthony DeSclafani has a strikeout rate of just 22% (22 SO in 101 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — seventh Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has walked 18 of 353 batters (5%) this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 88th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has thrown his slider 49% of the time (173/352) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (22/112) against Anthony DeSclafani on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 15th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Diamondbacks are 34-3 (.919) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Diamondbacks are just 87-22 (.798) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.
The Diamondbacks are just 94-15 (.862) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Diamondbacks are just 104-9 (.920) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Giants are 13-5 (.722) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Giants are 4-29 (.121) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Giants are 103-2 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Giants are 37-51 (.420) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .194 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (184/8,927) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 411 strikeouts in 2,136 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Giants are hitting .326 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Giants hitters have 28 strikeouts in 67 PA’s (42%) against LHP over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants hitters are slugging .639 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .570.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks have won 58% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 226 of 3,591 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Cobb (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Scott Alexander (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Wilmer Flores (Giants): Foot, D10
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Back, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
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