Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 02, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Giants (79-79) are -125 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (73-85)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies (2-5), 4.17 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Scott Alexander (0-0), 1.10 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-125) on Sunday, October 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Diamondbacks vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 73-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 76-82 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -200O 8 -105+105
Giants -1.5 +165U 8 -115-125

Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Giants vs Diamondbacks and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 52 games (+16.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+12.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+12.15 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 24 away games (+10.75 Units / 44% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.50 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Austin Wynns has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+10.90 Units / 136% ROI)
  • Jason Vosler has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Lewis Brinson has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)

Giants vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Evan Longoria 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Joc Pederson 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Thairo Estrada 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000

Giants vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Evan Longoria 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Joc Pederson 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Thairo Estrada 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Giants vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Evan Longoria 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Joc Pederson 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Thairo Estrada 0.5 +185 0.5 -275

Giants vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zach Davies 3.5 +115 3.5 -160
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 80 games (+39.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 147 games (+22.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 away games (+13.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 70 of their last 123 games (+11.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 away games (+8.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games at home (+18.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 31 games (+12.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 76 games at home (+12.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 61 of their last 105 games (+12.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 34% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 91-67 against the Run Line (+20.1 Units / 9.97% ROI).

  • 73-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.11% ROI
  • 72-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.85 Units / -9.71% ROI
  • 81-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 0.6% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 76-82 against the Run Line (-13.5 Units / -6.9% ROI).

  • 79-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.05 Units / -9.25% ROI
  • 73-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.55 Units / -6.09% ROI
  • 76-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -2.77% ROI

Zach Davies has located his pitches away 62% of the time (1,362/2,201) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 22% (267/1,219) against Zach Davies on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

Zach Davies has located his pitches away 62% of the time (350/561) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (370/935) against Zach Davies this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.

Scott Alexander: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Scott Alexander has allowed an OBP of just .067 (15 PA’s) against right-handed batters — tied for best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .299 — 100th Percentile.

Scott Alexander has not allowed a walk in any of his last four starts — the longest active streak is 6.

Scott Alexander has allowed an OPS of just .200 (15 PA’s) against right-handed batters — tied for best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .658 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 86% (18/21) against Scott Alexander — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are just 122-23 (.841) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Diamondbacks are just 111-35 (.760) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 32-182 (.150) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.

The Diamondbacks are just 18-67 (.212) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Giants are 33-10 (.767) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Giants are 53-9 (.855) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Giants are 8-64 (.111) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 34% on the road since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Diamondbacks hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Giants hitters have a groundball batting average of just .217 with runners on base since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Giants hitters have 467 strikeouts in 1,888 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Giants are batting just .219 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

The Giants are batting .369 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 847 of 11,925 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 176 of 2,865 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
  • Logan Webb (Giants): Undisclosed, D15
  • Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
  • Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas La Stella (Giants): Neck, D10
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Luis González (Giants): Back, D10
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Toe, D15
  • Emmanuel Rivera (Diamondbacks): Wrist, D60
  • Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks): Arm, D15
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Ketel Marte (Diamondbacks): Undisclosed, D10
  • Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.