- The Giants (79-79) are -125 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (73-85)
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies (2-5), 4.17 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Scott Alexander (0-0), 1.10 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-125) on Sunday, October 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Diamondbacks vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 73-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 76-82 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -105 | +105 |
| Giants | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -115 | -125 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 52 games (+16.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+12.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+12.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 24 away games (+10.75 Units / 44% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Austin Wynns has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+10.90 Units / 136% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Lewis Brinson has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)
Giants vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Davies | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 80 games (+39.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 147 games (+22.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 away games (+13.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 70 of their last 123 games (+11.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 away games (+8.10 Units / 29% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games at home (+18.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 31 games (+12.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 76 games at home (+12.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 61 of their last 105 games (+12.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 91-67 against the Run Line (+20.1 Units / 9.97% ROI).
- 73-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.11% ROI
- 72-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.85 Units / -9.71% ROI
- 81-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 0.6% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 76-82 against the Run Line (-13.5 Units / -6.9% ROI).
- 79-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.05 Units / -9.25% ROI
- 73-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.55 Units / -6.09% ROI
- 76-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -2.77% ROI
Zachary Davies: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Davies has located his pitches away 62% of the time (1,362/2,201) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 22% (267/1,219) against Zach Davies on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Zach Davies has located his pitches away 62% of the time (350/561) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (370/935) against Zach Davies this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.
Scott Alexander: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Scott Alexander has allowed an OBP of just .067 (15 PA’s) against right-handed batters — tied for best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .299 — 100th Percentile.
Scott Alexander has not allowed a walk in any of his last four starts — the longest active streak is 6.
Scott Alexander has allowed an OPS of just .200 (15 PA’s) against right-handed batters — tied for best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .658 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 86% (18/21) against Scott Alexander — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Diamondbacks are just 122-23 (.841) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Diamondbacks are just 111-35 (.760) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 32-182 (.150) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Diamondbacks are just 18-67 (.212) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Giants are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Giants are 33-10 (.767) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Giants are 53-9 (.855) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Giants are 8-64 (.111) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 34% on the road since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have a groundball batting average of just .217 with runners on base since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Giants hitters have 467 strikeouts in 1,888 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .219 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Giants are batting .369 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 847 of 11,925 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 176 of 2,865 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
- Logan Webb (Giants): Undisclosed, D15
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
- Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas La Stella (Giants): Neck, D10
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D10
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Yonny Hernandez (Diamondbacks): Calf, D60
- Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Toe, D15
- Emmanuel Rivera (Diamondbacks): Wrist, D60
- Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks): Arm, D15
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Ketel Marte (Diamondbacks): Undisclosed, D10
- Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
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