• The Guardians are -160 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
• Diamondbacks vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Diamondbacks / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | DBTV

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-160) on August 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 59-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 53-58 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 8-8, 4.88 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 10-6, 3.72 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.75 Units / 36% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+13.10 Units / 218% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.90 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Patrick Bailey has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+14.00 Units / 350% ROI)
• Chase DeLauter has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.35 Units / 24% ROI)
• Chase DeLauter has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+12.40 Units / 58% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 36% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 away games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+12.50 Units / 59% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.35 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 24 games (+4.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.70 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games (+1.20 Units / 4% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 59-48 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 1.57% ROI).

• 59-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 6.66% ROI
• 47-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.65 Units / -13.58% ROI
• 58-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.9 Units / 5.67% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 53-58 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -6% ROI).

• 56-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -2.88% ROI
• 52-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.55 Units / -11.07% ROI
• 60-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 1.77% ROI

Guardians vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Diamondbacks are 25-13 (.658) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Guardians (30th in runs scored).

The Diamondbacks are 27-16 (.628) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Guardians (eighth runs allowed).

The Diamondbacks are 52-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are 27-16 (.628) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Guardians (eighth runs allowed).

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Guardians are 18-5 (.783) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Guardians are 18-5 (.783) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Guardians were 33-4 (.868) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .276 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .303 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

The Guardians are batting just .192 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .216 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .370 this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .342 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in the first 5 innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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