Diamondbacks vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 02, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Guardians (53-49) are -135 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (45-57)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen (5-2), 3.23 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie (7-7), 3.23 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-135) on Tuesday, August 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Diamondbacks vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 45-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 54-48 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -185O 7.5 -105+110
Guardians -1.5 +150U 7.5 -115-135

Diamondbacks vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 68.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Diamondbacks and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 37 of his last 63 games (+27.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 45 of his last 63 games (+17.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 46 of his last 66 games (+14.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 55 games (+12.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 78% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+11.10 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+10.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+8.50 Units / 18% ROI)

Guardians vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Josh Naylor 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Myles Straw 0.5 +1000 0.5

Guardians vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Andres Gimenez 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Jose Ramirez 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Josh Naylor 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Myles Straw 0.5 -190 0.5 +135

Guardians vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Josh Naylor 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Myles Straw 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Guardians vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Triston McKenzie 5.5 -160 5.5 +115
Zac Gallen 4.5 +115 4.5 -160
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 91 games (+15.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 24 games (+14.90 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 40 of their last 80 games (+5.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+3.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 83 games (+11.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+9.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 83 games (+6.15 Units / 6% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 59-43 against the Run Line (+12.95 Units / 9.8% ROI).

  • 45-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -5.56% ROI
  • 44-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -12.49% ROI
  • 53-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.75 Units / 3.32% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 54-48 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 0.77% ROI).

  • 53-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units / 5.4% ROI
  • 49-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -1.51% ROI
  • 46-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -8 Units / -7.12% ROI

10 of Zac Gallen’s 28 breaking pitch strikeouts (36%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (25/137) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .270 (17 Total Bases / 63 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — 85th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 21% (89/422) against Zac Gallen this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 16th Percentile.

Triston McKenzie: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (61/192) against Triston McKenzie this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .185 (10-for-54) against Triston McKenzie on low fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .269 — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (99/305) against Triston McKenzie this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .158 (26-for-165) against Triston McKenzie this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .232 — 98th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Diamondbacks are just 91-26 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 100-17 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Diamondbacks are just 7-21 (.250) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-31 (.225) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Guardians are 33-5 (.868) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Guardians are 21-8 (.724) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.

The Guardians are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians are 35-1 (.972) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .190 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .180 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 37% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .322 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians hitters have just 716 strikeouts in 3,867 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have just 505 strikeouts in 2,872 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 2 of 105 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Guardians have have still managed to win 40% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Guardians vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Wrist, D15
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
  • Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.