- The – (70-33) are favorites vs the – (70-33)
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Thomas Henry (-), – ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber (5-6), 3.41 ERA
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Arizona Diamondbacks () visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians () on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Diamondbacks vs Guardians Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 46-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 54-49 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | O | ||
| Guardians | U |
Diamondbacks vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 62.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 37 of his last 64 games (+26.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 47 of his last 67 games (+15.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 45 of his last 64 games (+15.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- Seth Beer has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 56 games (+10.90 Units / 13% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+12.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+11.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+10.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+8.65 Units / 36% ROI)
Guardians vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Guardians vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -185 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jose Ramirez | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Guardians vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Guardians vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 92 games (+16.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 25 games (+15.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 81 games (+6.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 26 away games (+3.95 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 84 games (+10.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+9.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 63 games (+8.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 84 games (+5.15 Units / 5% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 60-43 against the Run Line (+13.95 Units / 10.41% ROI).
- 46-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -4.46% ROI
- 45-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -11.48% ROI
- 53-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 2.37% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 54-49 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 53-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 4.21% ROI
- 50-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -0.62% ROI
- 46-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -7.98% ROI
Thomas Henry: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Shane Bieber: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Bieber has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (634/1,545) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (70/201) against Shane Bieber on fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 29% (58/201) against Shane Bieber this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.
Shane Bieber has allowed a slugging percentage of just .201 (48 Total Bases / 239 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .251 — 85th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Diamondbacks are just 92-26 (.780) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 101-17 (.856) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 48-112 (.300) on the road since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Diamondbacks are just 4-11 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Guardians are 9-43 (.173) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Guardians are 35-1 (.972) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Guardians are just 16-47 (.254) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Guardians are 21-9 (.700) when scoring in the first inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 37% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .222 on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .185 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .320 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Guardians hitters have just 513 strikeouts in 2,901 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Guardians pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed 218 barreled balls this season — 5th most in MLB.
Guardians vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Wrist, D15
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
- Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
- Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
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