- The Guardians are -140 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-140) on July 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Diamondbacks are against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Mitch Bratt 0-1, 6.19 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 4-10, 3.92 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -105 | +115 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -115 | -140 |
Diamondbacks vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+20.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 72% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Patrick Bailey has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+14.00 Units / 350% ROI)
- Chase DeLauter has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+13.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Chase DeLauter has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Chase DeLauter has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+11.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+5.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Guardians vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll | +325 |
| Ketel Marte | +333 |
| Rhys Hoskins | +350 |
| Jose Ramirez | +360 |
| Chase DeLauter | +400 |
Guardians vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ketel Marte | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brayan Rocchio | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Guardians vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tim Tawa | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| David Fry | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Max Kepler | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Diamondbacks are 50-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Diamondbacks are 23-13 (.639) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Guardians (30th in runs scored).
The Diamondbacks are 50-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Diamondbacks are 23-13 (.639) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Guardians (30th in runs scored).
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Guardians are 11-1 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Guardians are 18-4 (.818) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Guardians are 18-4 (.818) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.
The Diamondbacks are batting .274 against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .194 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .369 this season — lowest in MLB.
The Guardians are batting just .216 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .309 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (273.1 IP) against division opponents this season — tied for best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have won 33% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.






