Diamondbacks vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 31

Cleveland Guardians catcher Bo Naylor sits near the bullpen during spring training baseball workouts in Goodyear, Ariz., Friday, Feb. 16, 2024.
(AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)
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  • The Guardians are -140 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Diamondbacks vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | DBTV

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-140) on July 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Diamondbacks are against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Mitch Bratt 0-1, 6.19 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 4-10, 3.92 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -175O 8.5 -105+115
Guardians -1.5 +145U 8.5 -115-140

Diamondbacks vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+20.05 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Patrick Bailey has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+14.00 Units / 350% ROI)
  • Chase DeLauter has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+13.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Chase DeLauter has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Chase DeLauter has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+11.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+5.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Guardians vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Corbin Carroll +325
Ketel Marte +333
Rhys Hoskins +350
Jose Ramirez +360
Chase DeLauter +400

Guardians vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ketel Marte 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Brayan Rocchio 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Guardians vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rhys Hoskins 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Tim Tawa 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
David Fry 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Max Kepler 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Diamondbacks are 50-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Diamondbacks are 23-13 (.639) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Guardians (30th in runs scored).

The Diamondbacks are 50-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Diamondbacks are 23-13 (.639) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Guardians (30th in runs scored).

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Guardians are 11-1 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .786.

The Guardians are 18-4 (.818) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Guardians are 18-4 (.818) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .274 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .194 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .369 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .216 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .309 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (273.1 IP) against division opponents this season — tied for best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have won 33% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.