- The Mariners are -150 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Mariners TV Channel: MRTV | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-150) on May 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 pm in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 31-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 22-36 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 2-3, 4.63 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 4-3, 3.82 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -175 | O 7 -115 | +125 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +145 | U 7 -105 | -150 |
Diamondbacks vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+13.00 Units / 162% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Adrian Del Castillo has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+30.50 Units / 381% ROI)
- Cole Young has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Mitch Garver has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 60% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 away games (+14.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+7.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 away games (+6.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 34% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+4.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.50 Units / 36% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 34-21 against the Run Line (+8.6 Units / 11.1% ROI).
- 31-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 8.38% ROI
- 28-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 0.89% ROI
- 25-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -9.11% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 22-36 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -14.2% ROI).
- 29-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -12.72% ROI
- 27-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.9 Units / -7.66% ROI
- 29-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -1.1% ROI
Mariners vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez | +375 |
| Ketel Marte | +390 |
| Luke Raley | +425 |
| Corbin Carroll | +450 |
| Josh Naylor | +500 |
Mariners vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ketel Marte | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Mariners vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tommy Troy | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ryne Nelson | 4.5 -175 | 4.5 +130 |
| Julio Rodriguez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Diamondbacks are 5-16 (.238) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Diamondbacks are just 93-16 (.853) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Diamondbacks are just 84-22 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.
The Diamondbacks are 7-85 (.076) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Mariners are 10-4 (.714) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Diamondbacks (10th in runs scored).
The Mariners are 6-84 (.067) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Mariners are 25-15 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners were 70-3 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Diamondbacks are batting .281 against LHP this season — best in MLB.
The Diamondbacks are batting .337 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .204 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .614 (661 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Mariners are batting just .293 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .285 (661 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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