- The Mariners are -155 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Mariners TV Channel: MRTV | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on May 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 31-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 23-36 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 5-3, 5.22 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 1-0, 2.25 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -170 | O 7.5 -118 | +125 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 -102 | -155 |
Diamondbacks vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adrian Del Castillo has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+12.00 Units / 133% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+29.50 Units / 328% ROI)
- Cole Young has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 away games (+6.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+4.35 Units / 6% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.80 Units / 96% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 34-22 against the Run Line (+6.9 Units / 8.71% ROI).
- 31-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 6.77% ROI
- 28-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.79% ROI
- 26-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -7.35% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 23-36 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -11.55% ROI).
- 30-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -11.27% ROI
- 27-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -9.15% ROI
- 30-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.46% ROI
Mariners vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Ketel Marte | +333 |
| Julio Rodriguez | +350 |
| Corbin Carroll | +375 |
| Luke Raley | +380 |
| Josh Naylor | +450 |
Mariners vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Mariners vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tommy Troy | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Julio Rodriguez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Diamondbacks are 5-17 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Diamondbacks are just 84-22 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.
The Diamondbacks are 7-86 (.075) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Mariners are 6-84 (.067) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Mariners are 25-15 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners were 9-55 (.141) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Mariners were 12-55 (.179) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .792 (593 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Diamondbacks are batting .281 against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .499 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .329 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .285 (661 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .614 (661 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
The Mariners are batting just .204 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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