- The Diamondbacks are -160 favorites vs the Marlins
- Diamondbacks vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+130) on Thursday, April 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 11-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 8-9 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 0-2, 4.96 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 0-0, 3.18 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 -110 | -155 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -110 | +130 |
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 58.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+16.00 Units / 267% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+12.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Mervis has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+18.90 Units / 270% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+11.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 69% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+10.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+9.35 Units / 111% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 90 of their last 162 games (+19.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 83 away games (+14.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 83 away games (+11.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 82 away games (+11.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 83 away games (+9.15 Units / 8% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 81 games at home (+28.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+10.20 Units / 11% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 10-8 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 17.38% ROI).
- 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 8.18% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -9.32% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 1.01% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 8-9 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -10.79% ROI).
- 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 9.01% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 10.36% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -20.44% ROI
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Alek Thomas (ARI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Edward Cabrera (MIA) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (50/157) against Eduardo Rodriguez when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez had an ERA of 1.19 (60.1 IP) against division opponents in 2023 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.27 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 28% (140/495) against Eduardo Rodriguez since the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez allowed a slugging percentage of just .225 (18 Total Bases / 80 ABs) on low fastballs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .430 — 99th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera has walked 49 of 361 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera walked 29 of 166 batters (17%) versus the top of the order in 2023 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Edward Cabrera walked 19 of 109 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 77% (63/82) against Edward Cabrera’s changeup in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Diamondbacks are 1-7 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .025.
The Diamondbacks were 5-59 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Diamondbacks are 22-124 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Diamondbacks are 142-35 (.798) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Marlins are just 50-12 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins are just 19-36 (.345) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Diamondbacks (first best runs scored) today.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have just 28 strikeouts in 208 PA’s (14%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 16 strikeouts in 130 PA’s (12%) against LHP this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 10 strikeouts in 101 PA’s (10%) against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins had a winning percentage of just 37% at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins are just 2-13 (.133) against the run line (-67.3% ROI) as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .432.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had an ERA of 4.68 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 4 of 105 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.28 (864.0 IP) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
More MLB Reading:
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