• The Diamondbacks are -102 favorites vs the Marlins
• Diamondbacks vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Diamondbacks / Marlins TV Channel: DBTV | MATV

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-102) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-118) on June 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 34-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 33-35 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 5-4, 5.68 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Tyler Phillips 0-1, 2.08 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+15.70 Units / 196% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+8.65 Units / 94% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.90 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Javier Sanoja has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+17.00 Units / 189% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 32% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+6.00 Units / 17% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 games (+5.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 27% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+18.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.85 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+3.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.70 Units / 59% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 69% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.50 Units / 32% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 39-27 against the Run Line (+6.75 Units / 7.34% ROI).

• 34-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.06% ROI
• 31-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.05 Units / -6.85% ROI
• 33-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -1.22% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 33-35 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -7.67% ROI).

• 33-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -0.75% ROI
• 39-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +10 Units / 13.26% ROI
• 26-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.75 Units / -22.57% ROI

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Diamondbacks are just 4-17 (.190) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Diamondbacks are just 85-22 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .869.

The Diamondbacks are just 95-16 (.856) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.

The Diamondbacks are 7-92 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .047.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Marlins are 7-1 (.875) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are just 3-13 (.188) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Marlins are 5-2 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .273 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have 28 extra-base hits out of 94 total hits (just 30%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have 113 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .229 against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .229 against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.