- The Mets are -140 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Mets TV Channel: DBTV | SNY | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-140) on Tuesday, April 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens, NY.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 15-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 16-13 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 1-2, 4.40 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 1-1, 3.30 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 +100 | +115 |
| Mets | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -120 | -140 |
Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tim Tawa has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+21.00 Units / 210% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+14.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+13.10 Units / 146% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+12.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.69 Units / 48% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games at home (+10.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 33% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 14-14 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 1.33% ROI).
- 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -3.01% ROI
- 15-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.05 Units / 13.24% ROI
- 10-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -21.77% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 16-13 against the Run Line (+3.45 Units / 9.35% ROI).
- 20-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.7 Units / 17.19% ROI
- 10-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.95 Units / -31.09% ROI
- 18-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.9 Units / 21.7% ROI
Mets vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peterson (NYM) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eduardo Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of just 17% (6 SO in 35 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of 44% (11 SO in 25 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 95th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of .515 (17 Total Bases / 33 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — second Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (68/122) this season — 5th lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 61% — 10th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.1 MPH on the 201 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 87.6.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (45/80) against David Peterson this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (41/216) against David Peterson this season — 4th lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a groundball rate of 62% (45/72) against David Peterson when he was behind in the count in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 99th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Diamondbacks are 146-35 (.802) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Diamondbacks are 7-5 (.583) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
The Diamondbacks are 3-10 (.231) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .083.
The Diamondbacks were 5-59 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Mets are 8-1 (.889) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 8-66 (.108) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Mets are 13-60 (.178) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .483 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .823 (817 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Diamondbacks hitters have 87 extra-base hits out of 176 total hits (49%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have a winning percentage of 92% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
The Mets have a winning percentage of 92% at home since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
The Mets have a winning percentage of 92% at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
The Mets have a winning percentage of 69% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had an ERA of 4.68 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (4,288 batted balls) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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