• The Mets are -160 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
• Diamondbacks vs Mets Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Diamondbacks / Mets TV Channel: DBTV | SNY

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-160) on April 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 5-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 6-4 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 1-1, 3.60 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 1-0, 4.36 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+23.00 Units / 230% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• Zac Gallen has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.20 Units / 53% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.50 Units / 30% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+14.10 Units / 47% ROI)
• Freddy Peralta has hit the Strikeouts Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 44% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.45 Units / 43% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 52 games (+16.90 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 74 of their last 146 games (+15.05 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 67 of their last 121 games (+8.00 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 81 of their last 146 games (+6.75 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 52 games (+6.45 Units / 10% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 58 games at home (+15.30 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 93 games (+9.90 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 78 games at home (+7.00 Units / 7% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games at home (+5.94 Units / 7% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+2.15 Units / 10% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 7-3 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 22.14% ROI).

• 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.93% ROI
• 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 14.48% ROI
• 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -23.29% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 6-4 against the Run Line (+3.7 Units / 35.24% ROI).

• 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -1.44% ROI
• 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -13.12% ROI
• 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 5.48% ROI

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Diamondbacks were just 61-17 (.782) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Diamondbacks are just 65-18 (.783) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are just 0-72 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .042.

The Mets were just 0-70 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks hitters have put 49% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 10% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of 67% with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have chased 50% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have put just 17% of their swings in play in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Mets are batting .351 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 47% in the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .239 (88 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 5th highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 21 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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