• The Mets are -160 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
• Diamondbacks vs Mets Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Diamondbacks / Mets TV Channel: MLBN | DBTV | SNY

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-160) on April 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 6-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 6-6 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Nolan McLean 1-0, 2.62 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.35 Units / 33% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+8.50 Units / 121% ROI)
• Alek Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 44% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+5.70 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nolan McLean has hit the Walks Allowed Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 70% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 74% ROI)
• Nolan McLean has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 48% ROI)
• Mark Vientos has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games at home (+5.45 Units / 136% ROI)
• Mark Vientos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.40 Units / 92% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 away games (+12.75 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.05 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+8.10 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+5.65 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 25 games (+3.55 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.65 Units / 43% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 9-3 against the Run Line (+4.9 Units / 29.17% ROI).

• 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 1.95% ROI
• 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 19.62% ROI
• 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -27.76% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 6-6 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 13.6% ROI).

• 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -3.28% ROI
• 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -3.4% ROI
• 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -3.8% ROI

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Diamondbacks were just 61-17 (.782) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks were 6-65 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .043.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are just 0-73 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .042.

The Mets were just 0-70 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Mets are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

The Diamondbacks are batting just .097 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .097 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 12% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have put 48% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Mets hitters had a groundball batting average of just .214 with runners on base in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .332 (4,733 PA’s) against RHP since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 47% in the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .235 (98 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.54 (102.2 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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