Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 25

Washington Nationals' Luis Garcia hits an RBI single against the Seattle Mariners to score CJ Abrams during the third inning of a baseball game Monday, June 26, 2023, in Seattle.
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
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  • The Nationals are -150 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Diamondbacks vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Nationals TV Channel: DBTV | NATV

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+125) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-150) on July 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Washington, D.C., DC.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 55-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 62-40 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Mitch Bratt 0-0, 5.07 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Foster Griffin 11-2, 2.68 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -165O 9 +100+125
Nationals -1.5 +135U 9 -120-150

Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+17.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Tim Tawa has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+15.90 Units / 159% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • James Wood has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+13.45 Units / 149% ROI)
  • CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Foster Griffin has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • James Wood has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • James Wood has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+10.80 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+6.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+13.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.20 Units / 8% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 56-45 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 2.14% ROI).

  • 55-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.9 Units / 5.67% ROI
  • 44-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.1 Units / -13.17% ROI
  • 54-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.05 Units / 5.3% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 62-40 against the Run Line (+14.45 Units / 10.26% ROI).

  • 52-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 8.65% ROI
  • 58-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.35 Units / 11.67% ROI
  • 41-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.5 Units / -19.66% ROI

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
James Wood +240
Ketel Marte +310
CJ Abrams +360
Dylan Crews +380
Curtis Mead +400

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Curtis Mead 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
CJ Abrams 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Dylan Crews 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
James Wood 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Tim Tawa 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ryan Waldschmidt 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
James McCann 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
CJ Abrams 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Diamondbacks are 23-13 (.639) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Nationals (first in runs scored).

The Diamondbacks are 48-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Diamondbacks are 23-13 (.639) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Nationals (first in runs scored).

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Nationals are 44-10 (.815) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

The Nationals are just 45-9 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The Nationals are just 42-12 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.

The Nationals are just 20-32 (.385) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .680 (2,876 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .375 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .441 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have 248 extra-base hits out of 620 total hits (40%) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .562 (2,105 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .444 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in the first 5 innings this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 1.87 runs per game (194/104) in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.