Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 26

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  • The Diamondbacks are -118 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Diamondbacks vs Nationals Over / Under today: 10 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Nationals TV Channel: DBTV | NATV

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-118) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-102) on July 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Washington, D.C., DC.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 55-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 63-40 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Kohl Drake 0-0, 1.80 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 3-7, 5.61 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 +125O 10 -102-118
Nationals +1.5 -155U 10 -118-102

Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+17.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.55 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+13.00 Units / 130% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+13.45 Units / 224% ROI)
  • Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Dylan Crews has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+9.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • James Wood has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+14.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+9.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+5.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 56-46 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 0.95% ROI).

  • 55-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 4.81% ROI
  • 44-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.2 Units / -14% ROI
  • 55-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.05 Units / 6.11% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 63-40 against the Run Line (+15.9 Units / 11.21% ROI).

  • 53-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.6 Units / 9.44% ROI
  • 58-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.25 Units / 10.61% ROI
  • 42-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.5 Units / -18.61% ROI

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
James Wood +270
Corbin Carroll +270
Ketel Marte +280
CJ Abrams +375
Dylan Crews +375

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brady House 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Dylan Crews 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Daylen Lile 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
CJ Abrams 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Max Kepler 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brady House 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Adrian Del Castillo 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
CJ Abrams 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Tim Tawa 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Diamondbacks are 48-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Diamondbacks are 23-13 (.639) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Nationals (first in runs scored).

The Diamondbacks are 23-13 (.639) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Nationals (first in runs scored).

The Diamondbacks are 48-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Nationals are just 21-32 (.396) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Nationals are just 1-37 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Nationals are 45-10 (.818) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

The Nationals are just 43-12 (.782) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .865.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .275 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .783 (1,052 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .443 this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .440 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .565 (2,121 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .265 (2,121 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in the first 5 innings this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.34 (484.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 5.94 runs per game (315/53) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.